The 2021 Draft- We Need This One

I watched CJ his entire career here in Michigan. Kyle Pitts in a Pats uni would give me palpitations. Good ones.

Trade up for Pitts and then grab Trask in the 2nd.

Who's with me?
Depends if we need to trade up to #6 or #12 to get him. Going up to 6 for a TE when we just made 2 big TE signings wouldnt be very smart imo. Then I would rather take the one of the top 3 wrs (not at #6 obviously).
 
So, I finally finished this link and it is not a simple read, but was worth the effort and I thank you for posting it.

I'm involved in a book club with some friends and am currently reading Michael Lewis' (Moneyball, The Blind Side) The Undoing Project, which is based on two Israeli clinical psychologists who have done groundbreaking work in the science of human decision making and it is very illuminating stuff. The paper you linked above credits those same guys, Amos Tversky and Danny Kahnemann as major influences and that got my attention. They are basically considered giants in intellectual and business circles, but the lessons apply to medicine, sports, etc., etc. All aspects of life.

Basically, they have determined that people's perceptions are highly flawed and it causes a lot of costly, terrible major decisions due to human beings being human beings. It gets pretty deep. The Undoing Project starts off talking about the NBA draft and how teams must invest massive sums in guys that might not amount to anything and how processes can be developed to improve their odds, which is the exact same thing as the NFL draft. Lewis told a hilarious story about a team interviewing a potential high NBA pick and asked him if he'd be willing to take a drug test. The guy's eyes got big and he nervously responded "What? You mean TODAY?" Do you think that team was willing to invest huge money in that kid?

It's hard to explain why, but I'd be willing to bet that Belichick has read Tversky and Kahnemann's stuff and also The Loser's Curse, which I believe was influenced by the Patriots draft methods. We're seeing a gradual shift in the draft landscape and more teams are clued in than there used to be, but there are still those franchises that'll make massive blunders for reasons that they themselves don't understand until it's too late to do anything about it.
Ooh, that sounds interesting. I enjoyed reading quite a few of Lewis's books (Blind Side, The Big Short and Flash Boys), so may well give that a go.

Decision making is an interesting one. I've noticed it in myself; if I let stress/nerves get on top of me, my ability to analyse things properly goes out of the window.
 
One thing that the 49ers trade to #3 does, I think, is to set the bar really high for other moves up.

I can't see the Pats wanting to pay the price for a move to #4 or #5, where one of the QBs, top WRs, Kyle Pitts or OTs will be.

Parsons is likely to be off the board by #15, which leaves one of the good Corners or OT Slater.

Are they good enough to take there, or should they trade down? That's a non-rhetorical question BTW.
 
My final QB rankings for the draft. Comps are given for perspective comparisons.

Tier 1. Pro Bowl Potential.

1. Trevor Lawrence. Out in front in a diff class. High floor/high ceiling. Comp - Andrew Luck

2. Trey Lance. The most fundamentally sound quarterback in addition to excellent physical talent. Lance's upside could eventually approach Lawrence, if not exceed it, but his inexperience creates a longer acclimation period. Steve McNair X Matt Stafford

3. Mac Jones. Jones has some Brady-like upside to his mental game & as an accurate pocket player/passer. However, it's more realistic to consider him to be a better version of a stylistically similar player in Kirk Cousins. Comp - Kirk Cousins X Tom Brady.

4. Justin Fields. Fields has all the physical and technical skills of a top prospect with a high ceiling but he has a lower floor because of the processing flaws he must fix. He'll need a team that has the vision to play him early but also gives him room and direction to grow into a player with better processing speed. Comp - Josh Allen

Tier 2. Starter Potential.

5. Davis Mills. He's an accurate passer with fundamentally-sound throwing technique and a good start with reading defenses. He has no flaws that should prevent steady development into a starter in the NFL within 3-4 years. Comp - Eli Manning, Matt Ryan

6. Zach Wilson. I don't understand the hype to put him over the players I have ranked higher. He's often compared to Mahomes with his flash plays but he's far closer to Drew Lock or Jordan Love than he is to Mahomes. He's more fluff than he is substance although some team will be enamored by his fluff. Not worth his high draft capital. Comp - Baker Mayfield X Drew Lock X Johnny Manziel

Tier 3. Fringe Starter/Backup

7. Sam Ehlinger. Comp - Mark Sanchez
8. Jamie Newman. Comp - David Garrard, Jacoby Brissett
9. Kyle Trask. Comp - Trent Edwards X Matt Leinart
...................................................................................
Tier 4. Out of the NFL/Canadian Football

*. Kellen Mond. He's missing all the nuanced points of a well-schooled QB - his footwork, his drop backs, his pocket movements, his reads of coverage and his progressions are all lacking. You know the well built hyper-athletic 13 year old who played QB for the sandlot team? That's Mond. Comp - Manziel X Kaepernick
 
My final QB rankings for the draft. Comps are given for perspective comparisons.

Tier 1. Pro Bowl Potential.

1. Trevor Lawrence. Out in front in a diff class. High floor/high ceiling. Comp - Andrew Luck

2. Trey Lance. The most fundamentally sound quarterback in addition to excellent physical talent. Lance's upside could eventually approach Lawrence, if not exceed it, but his inexperience creates a longer acclimation period. Steve McNair X Matt Stafford

3. Mac Jones. Jones has some Brady-like upside to his mental game & as an accurate pocket player/passer. However, it's more realistic to consider him to be a better version of a stylistically similar player in Kirk Cousins. Comp - Kirk Cousins X Tom Brady.

4. Justin Fields. Fields has all the physical and technical skills of a top prospect with a high ceiling but he has a lower floor because of the processing flaws he must fix. He'll need a team that has the vision to play him early but also gives him room and direction to grow into a player with better processing speed. Comp - Josh Allen

Tier 2. Starter Potential.

5. Davis Mills. He's an accurate passer with fundamentally-sound throwing technique and a good start with reading defenses. He has no flaws that should prevent steady development into a starter in the NFL within 3-4 years. Comp - Eli Manning, Matt Ryan

6. Zach Wilson. I don't understand the hype to put him over the players I have ranked higher. He's often compared to Mahomes with his flash plays but he's far closer to Drew Lock or Jordan Love than he is to Mahomes. He's more fluff than he is substance although some team will be enamored by his fluff. Not worth his high draft capital. Comp - Baker Mayfield X Drew Lock X Johnny Manziel

Tier 3. Fringe Starter/Backup

7. Sam Ehlinger. Comp - Mark Sanchez
8. Jamie Newman. Comp - David Garrard, Jacoby Brissett
9. Kyle Trask. Comp - Trent Edwards X Matt Leinart
...................................................................................
Tier 4. Out of the NFL/Canadian Football

*. Kellen Mond. He's missing all the nuanced points of a well-schooled QB - his footwork, his drop backs, his pocket movements, his reads of coverage and his progressions are all lacking. You know the well built hyper-athletic 13 year old who played QB for the sandlot team? That's Mond. Comp - Manziel X Kaepernick

WRs

Small Slot
1.Jaylen Waddle, Alabama
2.Devonta Smith, Alabama
3.Kadarius Toney, Florida - Toney is my real No.1 on this list since Waddle and Smith will being playing outside. He’s as close to Golden Tate that I have seen with a dash of Percy Harvin’s electric athletic ability. Toney tracks the ball well and his contact balance for his size is superb.
4.Elijah Moore, Ole Miss - He has great feel for working open against zones, he catches everything, and he can give you a slot option who can get vertical 20-30 yards downfield, as well as a scatback who works the outlet routes. Slightly built jitterbug.
5.Rondale Moore, Purdue - Probably the slot receiver on this list with the most upside. He has moves like Barry Sanders and he’s built like Sanders at least by receiver standards. Moore has sudden footwork and terrific burst-balance-power combination. His big-play elements will mostly come after the catch and he'll tie a secondary in knots as they try to corral him.
6.Amon-Ra St. Brown, USC - St. Brown is a technically sound route runner with toughness at the catch-point and enough speed to do some work downfield. He’s a good example of a player who does a lot of things well but not one thing stands out as special.
7.D’Wayne Eskridge, Western Michigan - Eskridge is likely regarded as an outside receiver, but he saw his share of time in the slot and his size and quickness make him well-suited for the role. He’s also a hell of a blocker who could be an asset in the run game when the offense goes to 11 personnel or needs to bunch him to the formation. He ranks lower bc he has a few too many drops.
8.Dazz Newsome, North Carolina - A shifty and physical slot receiver for his size, Newsome has some hands issues but these are correctable flaws. They don’t happen enough that it should stall his development long-term into an effective slot receiver who can deliver as a contested-catch target, screen weapon, and return threat.
9.Ihmir Smith-Marsette, Iowa - Used more as an outside threat at Iowa, Smith-Marsette has the quickness to do work inside where his releases won’t be as challenging. He’s an imaginative runner in tight spaces and wins the ball on quick-hitting plays that match well to the slot.
10.Jalen Darden, North Texas - Sudden and quick, Darden's slim build is concerning.

Big Slot
1.Ja’Marr Chase, LSU - It’ s likely that Chase will be a starting receiver on the outside, but he has all the skills to thrive inside. He’ll be moved around the offense if he’s matched with a decent NFL coordinator because what he does best is win the football and make plays after the catch.
2.Rashod Bateman, Minnesota - Although he lacks the top gear of the best speedsters in this class, he has enough skill to win outside. Think of him as another receiver in the Michael Thomas-Justin Jefferson mold who is too big, quick and savvy to lose in the middle of the field. He also poses problems outside the hash.
3.Terrace Marshall, LSU - Marshall, like his former teammate, Justin Jefferson, played outside and inside during his LSU career. He will likely do both in the NFL. Physical, fluid, and quick, look for Marshall to make an impact as a situational contributor with starter upside as a rookie.
4.Amari Rodgers, Clemson - Built like a feature running back, Rodgers has the speed to play flanker but will likely make his money in the middle where he can use his patience, finishing power, and toughness at the catch point. He’ll also stretch the field up the seams with his speed.
5.Simi Fehoko, Stanford - On paper, he looks like a star split end. On tape, he’s a player best used in the middle of the field where he uses his athletic ability the best.


My Overall Rankings (for the Pats)

Tier 1 Only. (I have 200+ pgs of typewritten notes on 30+ prospects - I'll give a full report on the WRs the Pats take after the draft)
1. Ja'marr Chase - 6', 208. Built to take it. Tough. Fast, quick, great vision, YAC. Comp. De'Andre Hopkins but faster.
2. Jaylen Waddle - 5'10", 182. Tyreek Hill clone. Inside, outside, slot, RB. Let him rip.
3. Rashod Bateman - 6'2", 210. Tough, good blocker, good size with route skills. Comp. Michael Thomas or Keenan Allen.
4. Kadarius Toney - 5'11", 193. Fast, quick with good hands and YAC galore. Slot is ideal. Comp. Golden Tate but more electric.
5. Terrace Marshall - 6'2", 205. Big, fast, tough, strong, good blocker. 3 position WR. Comp. Justin Jefferson but faster.
6. Tylan Marshall - 6/, 185. Stefon Diggs clone.
7. Rondale Moore - 5'7", 180. Very fast and very quick but 180 lbs is my cut off for the Pats otherwise he'd be a little higher. Comp. another Tyreek Hill guy.

Right or wrong, I've chosen not to include players < 180 lbs for durability concerns. DeVonta Smith, Elijah Moore, Jaelon Darden and Tutu Atwell are not on my board bc it would be a major shift for BB to draft a player so slightly built.
 
WRs

Small Slot
1.Jaylen Waddle, Alabama
2.Devonta Smith, Alabama
3.Kadarius Toney, Florida - Toney is my real No.1 on this list since Waddle and Smith will being playing outside. He’s as close to Golden Tate that I have seen with a dash of Percy Harvin’s electric athletic ability. Toney tracks the ball well and his contact balance for his size is superb.
4.Elijah Moore, Ole Miss - He has great feel for working open against zones, he catches everything, and he can give you a slot option who can get vertical 20-30 yards downfield, as well as a scatback who works the outlet routes. Slightly built jitterbug.
5.Rondale Moore, Purdue - Probably the slot receiver on this list with the most upside. He has moves like Barry Sanders and he’s built like Sanders at least by receiver standards. Moore has sudden footwork and terrific burst-balance-power combination. His big-play elements will mostly come after the catch and he'll tie a secondary in knots as they try to corral him.
6.Amon-Ra St. Brown, USC - St. Brown is a technically sound route runner with toughness at the catch-point and enough speed to do some work downfield. He’s a good example of a player who does a lot of things well but not one thing stands out as special.
7.D’Wayne Eskridge, Western Michigan - Eskridge is likely regarded as an outside receiver, but he saw his share of time in the slot and his size and quickness make him well-suited for the role. He’s also a hell of a blocker who could be an asset in the run game when the offense goes to 11 personnel or needs to bunch him to the formation. He ranks lower bc he has a few too many drops.
8.Dazz Newsome, North Carolina - A shifty and physical slot receiver for his size, Newsome has some hands issues but these are correctable flaws. They don’t happen enough that it should stall his development long-term into an effective slot receiver who can deliver as a contested-catch target, screen weapon, and return threat.
9.Ihmir Smith-Marsette, Iowa - Used more as an outside threat at Iowa, Smith-Marsette has the quickness to do work inside where his releases won’t be as challenging. He’s an imaginative runner in tight spaces and wins the ball on quick-hitting plays that match well to the slot.
10.Jalen Darden, North Texas - Sudden and quick, Darden's slim build is concerning.

Big Slot
1.Ja’Marr Chase, LSU - It’ s likely that Chase will be a starting receiver on the outside, but he has all the skills to thrive inside. He’ll be moved around the offense if he’s matched with a decent NFL coordinator because what he does best is win the football and make plays after the catch.
2.Rashod Bateman, Minnesota - Although he lacks the top gear of the best speedsters in this class, he has enough skill to win outside. Think of him as another receiver in the Michael Thomas-Justin Jefferson mold who is too big, quick and savvy to lose in the middle of the field. He also poses problems outside the hash.
3.Terrace Marshall, LSU - Marshall, like his former teammate, Justin Jefferson, played outside and inside during his LSU career. He will likely do both in the NFL. Physical, fluid, and quick, look for Marshall to make an impact as a situational contributor with starter upside as a rookie.
4.Amari Rodgers, Clemson - Built like a feature running back, Rodgers has the speed to play flanker but will likely make his money in the middle where he can use his patience, finishing power, and toughness at the catch point. He’ll also stretch the field up the seams with his speed.
5.Simi Fehoko, Stanford - On paper, he looks like a star split end. On tape, he’s a player best used in the middle of the field where he uses his athletic ability the best.


My Overall Rankings (for the Pats)

Tier 1 Only. (I have 200+ pgs of typewritten notes on 30+ prospects - I'll give a full report on the WRs the Pats take after the draft)
1. Ja'marr Chase - 6', 208. Built to take it. Tough. Fast, quick, great vision, YAC. Comp. De'Andre Hopkins but faster.
2. Jaylen Waddle - 5'10", 182. Tyreek Hill clone. Inside, outside, slot, RB. Let him rip.
3. Rashod Bateman - 6'2", 210. Tough, good blocker, good size with route skills. Comp. Michael Thomas or Keenan Allen.
4. Kadarius Toney - 5'11", 193. Fast, quick with good hands and YAC galore. Slot is ideal. Comp. Golden Tate but more electric.
5. Terrace Marshall - 6'2", 205. Big, fast, tough, strong, good blocker. 3 position WR. Comp. Justin Jefferson but faster.
6. Tylan Marshall - 6/, 185. Stefon Diggs clone.
7. Rondale Moore - 5'7", 180. Very fast and very quick but 180 lbs is my cut off for the Pats otherwise he'd be a little higher. Comp. another Tyreek Hill guy.

Right or wrong, I've chosen not to include players < 180 lbs for durability concerns. DeVonta Smith, Elijah Moore, Jaelon Darden and Tutu Atwell are not on my board bc it would be a major shift for BB to draft a player so slightly built.
WR is BB's greatest weakness...hopefully Eliot Wolf and his scouts help him out. McD you would think has an eye for WR's, but, who knows?
 
My final QB rankings for the draft. Comps are given for perspective comparisons.

Tier 1. Pro Bowl Potential.

1. Trevor Lawrence. Out in front in a diff class. High floor/high ceiling. Comp - Andrew Luck

2. Trey Lance. The most fundamentally sound quarterback in addition to excellent physical talent. Lance's upside could eventually approach Lawrence, if not exceed it, but his inexperience creates a longer acclimation period. Steve McNair X Matt Stafford

3. Mac Jones. Jones has some Brady-like upside to his mental game & as an accurate pocket player/passer. However, it's more realistic to consider him to be a better version of a stylistically similar player in Kirk Cousins. Comp - Kirk Cousins X Tom Brady.

4. Justin Fields. Fields has all the physical and technical skills of a top prospect with a high ceiling but he has a lower floor because of the processing flaws he must fix. He'll need a team that has the vision to play him early but also gives him room and direction to grow into a player with better processing speed. Comp - Josh Allen

Tier 2. Starter Potential.

5. Davis Mills. He's an accurate passer with fundamentally-sound throwing technique and a good start with reading defenses. He has no flaws that should prevent steady development into a starter in the NFL within 3-4 years. Comp - Eli Manning, Matt Ryan

6. Zach Wilson. I don't understand the hype to put him over the players I have ranked higher. He's often compared to Mahomes with his flash plays but he's far closer to Drew Lock or Jordan Love than he is to Mahomes. He's more fluff than he is substance although some team will be enamored by his fluff. Not worth his high draft capital. Comp - Baker Mayfield X Drew Lock X Johnny Manziel

Tier 3. Fringe Starter/Backup

7. Sam Ehlinger. Comp - Mark Sanchez
8. Jamie Newman. Comp - David Garrard, Jacoby Brissett
9. Kyle Trask. Comp - Trent Edwards X Matt Leinart
...................................................................................
Tier 4. Out of the NFL/Canadian Football

*. Kellen Mond. He's missing all the nuanced points of a well-schooled QB - his footwork, his drop backs, his pocket movements, his reads of coverage and his progressions are all lacking. You know the well built hyper-athletic 13 year old who played QB for the sandlot team? That's Mond. Comp - Manziel X Kaepernick

This is a fine post and I agree with most of it. I also agree that Zach Wilson is a bit oversold. Tons of talent, but I didn't love his interviews. He reminds me a bit of Josh Rosen as a prospect.

Not to pick nits, but I see Lance as a better comp to Josh Allen due to his huge arm and lower level of competition, but can see your point.

I would've agreed with your take on Kellen Mond after 2019, but his improvement in 2020 was, to me, notable. The Senior Bowl was a mess for his team and when he went in he was able to take the reins and get them rolling, which didn't appear possible. I think he does have a pretty big arm and has improved his accuracy, but would stop short of suggesting he is an NFL starter. Just, that he has enough skill to stick in the league. Mond has always been a pretty good runner at the college level, so that should help him.
 
This is a fine post and I agree with most of it. I also agree that Zach Wilson is a bit oversold. Tons of talent, but I didn't love his interviews. He reminds me a bit of Josh Rosen as a prospect.

Not to pick nits, but I see Lance as a better comp to Josh Allen due to his huge arm and lower level of competition, but can see your point.

I would've agreed with your take on Kellen Mond after 2019, but his improvement in 2020 was, to me, notable. The Senior Bowl was a mess for his team and when he went in he was able to take the reins and get them rolling, which didn't appear possible. I think he does have a pretty big arm and has improved his accuracy, but would stop short of suggesting he is an NFL starter. Just, that he has enough skill to stick in the league. Mond has always been a pretty good runner at the college level, so that should help him.
I am in awe of the knowledge you guys have.
 
My final QB rankings for the draft. Comps are given for perspective comparisons.

Tier 1. Pro Bowl Potential.

1. Trevor Lawrence. Out in front in a diff class. High floor/high ceiling. Comp - Andrew Luck

2. Trey Lance. The most fundamentally sound quarterback in addition to excellent physical talent. Lance's upside could eventually approach Lawrence, if not exceed it, but his inexperience creates a longer acclimation period. Steve McNair X Matt Stafford

3. Mac Jones. Jones has some Brady-like upside to his mental game & as an accurate pocket player/passer. However, it's more realistic to consider him to be a better version of a stylistically similar player in Kirk Cousins. Comp - Kirk Cousins X Tom Brady.

4. Justin Fields. Fields has all the physical and technical skills of a top prospect with a high ceiling but he has a lower floor because of the processing flaws he must fix. He'll need a team that has the vision to play him early but also gives him room and direction to grow into a player with better processing speed. Comp - Josh Allen

Tier 2. Starter Potential.

5. Davis Mills. He's an accurate passer with fundamentally-sound throwing technique and a good start with reading defenses. He has no flaws that should prevent steady development into a starter in the NFL within 3-4 years. Comp - Eli Manning, Matt Ryan

6. Zach Wilson. I don't understand the hype to put him over the players I have ranked higher. He's often compared to Mahomes with his flash plays but he's far closer to Drew Lock or Jordan Love than he is to Mahomes. He's more fluff than he is substance although some team will be enamored by his fluff. Not worth his high draft capital. Comp - Baker Mayfield X Drew Lock X Johnny Manziel

Tier 3. Fringe Starter/Backup

7. Sam Ehlinger. Comp - Mark Sanchez
8. Jamie Newman. Comp - David Garrard, Jacoby Brissett
9. Kyle Trask. Comp - Trent Edwards X Matt Leinart
...................................................................................
Tier 4. Out of the NFL/Canadian Football

*. Kellen Mond. He's missing all the nuanced points of a well-schooled QB - his footwork, his drop backs, his pocket movements, his reads of coverage and his progressions are all lacking. You know the well built hyper-athletic 13 year old who played QB for the sandlot team? That's Mond. Comp - Manziel X Kaepernick

This is a fine post and I agree with most of it. I also agree that Zach Wilson is a bit oversold. Tons of talent, but I didn't love his interviews. He reminds me a bit of Josh Rosen as a prospect.

Not to pick nits, but I see Lance as a better comp to Josh Allen due to his huge arm and lower level of competition, but can see your point.

I would've agreed with your take on Kellen Mond after 2019, but his improvement in 2020 was, to me, notable. The Senior Bowl was a mess for his team and when he went in he was able to take the reins and get them rolling, which didn't appear possible. I think he does have a pretty big arm and has improved his accuracy, but would stop short of suggesting he is an NFL starter. Just, that he has enough skill to stick in the league. Mond has always been a pretty good runner at the college level, so that should help him.

I can see your Trey Lance and Josh Allen comparison bc of arm strength. I chose McNair bc of his arm and athleticism with some Stafford thrown in for progressions ability and decision making.
Josh Allen had a hard time reading and reacting to defenses with his progressions and he was a little slow in his decisions his first 2 years and I think Justin Fields comps the exact same way as that.

Mond was able to bring a spark in the Senior Bowl with his athleticism and positive attitude. He has a lot of ground to make up in the nuances of being a QB in the NFL, imho.
 
I put some stock into a guy who improves in his last year in College or, ideally, shows improvement every year and get more skeptical of a guy who goes downhill his last year. Granted, you have to look at the big picture in terms of supporting cast, but you would hope that a guy looks better.

Mond was awful for a pretty good A&M team in 2019 and it took me a while to change that impression last season. Conversely, Sam Darnold went downhill in his last season at USC, but he was so good the previous year that everybody figured that's who he was. So far, it looks like that is not the case. He's the same guy that was overmatched by Ohio State in his last bowl game.

Right now, it looks like Zack will be the Jets selection if they stay put. You've got to wonder if he is the beneficiary of a week schedule and a well-polished pro day routine and might not be the answer for them any more than Darnold has been. God, if that happened it would be fun.
 
I put some stock into a guy who improves in his last year in College or, ideally, shows improvement every year and get more skeptical of a guy who goes downhill his last year. Granted, you have to look at the big picture in terms of supporting cast, but you would hope that a guy looks better.

Mond was awful for a pretty good A&M team in 2019 and it took me a while to change that impression last season. Conversely, Sam Darnold went downhill in his last season at USC, but he was so good the previous year that everybody figured that's who he was. So far, it looks like that is not the case. He's the same guy that was overmatched by Ohio State in his last bowl game.

Right now, it looks like Zack will be the Jets selection if they stay put. You've got to wonder if he is the beneficiary of a week schedule and a well-polished pro day routine and might not be the answer for them any more than Darnold has been. God, if that happened it would be fun.

A lot of Mond's stats & numbers are poor and show inconsistencies & that worries me.
35% completion rate outside the hash is not very good.
29% accuracy rate for throws 20 yds or more is not very good.
His throws on the run are really poor; to me, that's a no-no for a mobile QB.


As a general rule of thumb, QB grades in the NFL are 10 pts lower than college grades.

View: https://twitter.com/PFF_College/status/1367138108995731457
 
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If not a QB with 15 (or a trade up) there are 2 players who fill positional needs. Either LB Collins & CB Horn would be great picks imo.
 
A lot of Mond's stats & numbers are poor and show inconsistencies & that worries me.
35% completion rate outside the hash is not very good.
29% accuracy rate for throws 20 yds or more is not very good.
His throws on the run are really poor; to me, that's a no-no for a mobile QB.


As a general rule of thumb, QB grades in the NFL are 10 pts lower than college grades.

View: https://twitter.com/PFF_College/status/1367138108995731457


Again, I'm not claiming he is Mahomes or a starter and his mechanics are pretty bad but you have to factor in his running to the big picture and he did score 22 TDs with his legs at A&M. He appears to be a pretty good leader with toughness and was a 4 year starter who threw for a school record 71 TDs. His Senior year he had his best completion pct., yards per attempt and lowest INT rate (19 TDs 3 picks in 10 games). Between that and a strong arm that can drive the ball downfield-- all I'm trying to get across is that I can see him ending up as a serviceable backup in the NFL, because there are plenty around that can't do either one of those things. I wouldn't relegate him to Saskatchewan just yet, but I don't want him in Foxboro.
 
Again, I'm not claiming he is Mahomes or a starter and his mechanics are pretty bad but you have to factor in his running to the big picture and he did score 22 TDs with his legs at A&M. He appears to be a pretty good leader with toughness and was a 4 year starter who threw for a school record 71 TDs. His Senior year he had his best completion pct., yards per attempt and lowest INT rate (19 TDs 3 picks in 10 games). Between that and a strong arm that can drive the ball downfield-- all I'm trying to get across is that I can see him ending up as a serviceable backup in the NFL, because there are plenty around that can't do either one of those things. I wouldn't relegate him to Saskatchewan just yet, but I don't want him in Foxboro.
Good post that details his good points very well.
 
Per PFF's latest mock. I'm all for it!

10. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (VIA DAL) — QB MAC JONES, ALABAMA

New England’s aggressiveness in free agency indicates that this team has no plans of tearing things down and rebuilding. Cam Newton is in place to be the guy at quarterback again in 2021, but it’s hard to see him being there beyond next season. Here are the two scenarios that could realistically play out next season:

Option No. 1: Newton plays well with more talent around him, and the Patriots have to pay him significantly more than $5 million to bring him back.

Option No. 2: Newton struggles again on a team with a mediocre record, and the Patriots are no closer to having an answer at quarterback for 2022. The only difference is that they won’t have nearly the same financial flexibility next offseason as they had this year.

Jones is the last consensus first-round talent at the position. His accuracy and control of that Alabama offense should be draws for New England, who can’t necessarily sit back and wait for him to drop to the 15th overall pick with teams such as Washington and Chicago potentially looking to move up. Dallas could be a willing trade partner with Pitts and Surtain off the board already in this scenario.
 
Or this one, also PFF

New England Patriots move from No. 15 to No. 7 (Detroit Lions) to draft Alabama QB Mac Jones


Full trade details:


  • Patriots receive: No. 7, No. 153
  • Lions receive: No. 15, No. 46, No. 139 and 2022 2nd
  • Comparison Trade: 2018 Josh Allen (Bills receive No. 7 for No. 12, No. 53 and No. 56)

Of the big five quarterbacks in this year’s draft, it remains unclear which will fall out of the top three or four picks. But if it proves to be Ohio State's Justin Fields or North Dakota State's Trey Lance, this trade still makes plenty of sense for New England.
 
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