...because we don't seem to have one?
I do statistical analysis for a living, but I'm not experienced with sports gambling. We're doing it as a homeschooling math/life project with our kids who have interest in sports. I figured why not track it here, and y'all can do the same, or just cheer me on or make fun of me. Will keep me from only talking about the wins, at any rate.
I'm intrigued by individual player prop bets, but I'd love them a lot more if I cheered for almost any other team - Belichick's game planning often makes the "how" wildly unpredictable.
A type of bet I've not seen before is the "PointsBetting" where your wins and losses are multiplied by how much you win or lose by. So if you're betting $10 on the over 4 on number of receptions and your guy catches 7, you win $10x3 = $30. If he catches 0, you lose $10x4= $40. That's interesting (and scary), especially when you're talking about QB passing yards, for example, instead of number of receptions.
I tried one of these on tomorrow's game:
$2 on Stevenson OVER 16 receiving yards.
If I understand correctly I could lose as much as $32 if he gets 0 yards (can't go below that) or gain up to whatever the max multiplier allows. Might be 150x or something, but it's high enough that it shouldn't matter.
I don't love it because the Steelers LBs (Bush & Jack) are so fast, but with Montgomery out and Strong dinged, someone is getting a few passes out of the backfield, especially with routes designed to slow down blitzers. But 20-50 yards on a few screens, short middle dumps behind the rush, or wheel routes seems like a very reasonable outcome, and I'd be pretty surprised if he didn't get at least a catch or two for a few yards each to limit the downside.
I do statistical analysis for a living, but I'm not experienced with sports gambling. We're doing it as a homeschooling math/life project with our kids who have interest in sports. I figured why not track it here, and y'all can do the same, or just cheer me on or make fun of me. Will keep me from only talking about the wins, at any rate.
I'm intrigued by individual player prop bets, but I'd love them a lot more if I cheered for almost any other team - Belichick's game planning often makes the "how" wildly unpredictable.
A type of bet I've not seen before is the "PointsBetting" where your wins and losses are multiplied by how much you win or lose by. So if you're betting $10 on the over 4 on number of receptions and your guy catches 7, you win $10x3 = $30. If he catches 0, you lose $10x4= $40. That's interesting (and scary), especially when you're talking about QB passing yards, for example, instead of number of receptions.
I tried one of these on tomorrow's game:
$2 on Stevenson OVER 16 receiving yards.
If I understand correctly I could lose as much as $32 if he gets 0 yards (can't go below that) or gain up to whatever the max multiplier allows. Might be 150x or something, but it's high enough that it shouldn't matter.
I don't love it because the Steelers LBs (Bush & Jack) are so fast, but with Montgomery out and Strong dinged, someone is getting a few passes out of the backfield, especially with routes designed to slow down blitzers. But 20-50 yards on a few screens, short middle dumps behind the rush, or wheel routes seems like a very reasonable outcome, and I'd be pretty surprised if he didn't get at least a catch or two for a few yards each to limit the downside.