Looking at the Patriots 2025

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I imagine Boutte will miss the TB game if his hammy is worse than a twinge.

Protecting Maye from hits/sacks means quicker passes to guys who can get open quickly. I expect some quick openers and Boutte's absence won't affect those guys.
I'm talking about Pop and Diggs primarily, with the TEs and RBs having a few plays to keep TB's D on its heels. I also expect Williams to have a presence in this game if only for
decoy duty.

Bucs are favored by 2.5 points.
The Patriots win statistical comparisons by a smidgen, so this should be a close game that could go either way.

Comparing their D

Points allowed/game
TB 22.2, tied for 15th in the league
Atlanta 22.2, ditto
Pats 18.8, 5th in the league

Rushing yards allowed/game
TB 92.6, 7th
Pats 75.4, 1st
Atlanta 124.4, 23rd

Passing yards allowed/game
TB 228, 23rd
Pats 223, 19th
Atlanta 158, 1st

Total yards/game
TB 320, 15th
Pats 300, 12th
Atlanta 280, 4th

Comparing Offenses

Pts/game
Pats 26.3, 7th
TB 24.6, 15th

Rush yards/game
TB 98, 17th
Pats 112, 24th

Passing yards/game
TB 225, 13th
Pats 238, 9th
 
Last edited:
chevss454 said:
I imagine Boutte will miss the TB game if his hammy is worse than a twinge.

Protecting Maye from hits/sacks means quicker passes to guys who can get open quickly. I expect some quick openers and Boutte's absence won't affect those guys.
I'm talking about Pop and Diggs primarily, with the TEs and RBs having a few plays to keep TB's D on its heels. I also expect Williams to have a presence in this game if only for
decoy duty.

Pats are favored by 2.5 points.
The Patriots win statistical comparisons by a smidgen, so this should be a close game that could go either way.

Comparing their D

Points allowed/game
TB 22.2, tied for 15th in the league
Atlanta 22.2, ditto
Pats 18.8, 5th in the league

Rushing yards allowed/game
TB 92.6, 7th
Pats 75.4, 1st
Atlanta 124.4, 23rd

Passing yards allowed/game
TB 228, 23rd
Pats 223, 19th
Atlanta 158, 1st

Total yards/game
TB 320, 15th
Pats 300, 12th
Atlanta 280, 4th

Comparing Offenses

Pts/game
Pats 26.3, 7th
TB 24.6, 15th

Rush yards/game
TB 98, 17th
Pats 112, 24th

Passing yards/game
TB 225, 9th
Pats 238, 13th
Click to expand...
I will agree with 90% of what you posted. I would only add that I can see Mack Hollins playing a larger role as just a possession receiver keeping the drive going. Not unlike how he was targeted against the Browns.
 
chevss454 said:
I imagine Boutte will miss the TB game if his hammy is worse than a twinge.

Protecting Maye from hits/sacks means quicker passes to guys who can get open quickly. I expect some quick openers and Boutte's absence won't affect those guys.
I'm talking about Pop and Diggs primarily, with the TEs and RBs having a few plays to keep TB's D on its heels. I also expect Williams to have a presence in this game if only for
decoy duty.

Bucs are favored by 2.5 points.
The Patriots win statistical comparisons by a smidgen, so this should be a close game that could go either way.

Comparing their D

Points allowed/game
TB 22.2, tied for 15th in the league
Atlanta 22.2, ditto
Pats 18.8, 5th in the league

Rushing yards allowed/game
TB 92.6, 7th
Pats 75.4, 1st
Atlanta 124.4, 23rd

Passing yards allowed/game
TB 228, 23rd
Pats 223, 19th
Atlanta 158, 1st

Total yards/game
TB 320, 15th
Pats 300, 12th
Atlanta 280, 4th

Comparing Offenses

Pts/game
Pats 26.3, 7th
TB 24.6, 15th

Rush yards/game
TB 98, 17th
Pats 112, 24th

Passing yards/game
TB 225, 9th
Pats 238, 13th
Click to expand...
1762183219175.png??? Last two stats flipped?
 
chevss454 said:
I imagine Boutte will miss the TB game if his hammy is worse than a twinge.

Protecting Maye from hits/sacks means quicker passes to guys who can get open quickly. I expect some quick openers and Boutte's absence won't affect those guys.
I'm talking about Pop and Diggs primarily, with the TEs and RBs having a few plays to keep TB's D on its heels. I also expect Williams to have a presence in this game if only for
decoy duty.

Bucs are favored by 2.5 points.
The Patriots win statistical comparisons by a smidgen, so this should be a close game that could go either way.

Comparing their D

Points allowed/game
TB 22.2, tied for 15th in the league
Atlanta 22.2, ditto
Pats 18.8, 5th in the league

Rushing yards allowed/game
TB 92.6, 7th
Pats 75.4, 1st
Atlanta 124.4, 23rd

Passing yards allowed/game
TB 228, 23rd
Pats 223, 19th
Atlanta 158, 1st

Total yards/game
TB 320, 15th
Pats 300, 12th
Atlanta 280, 4th

Comparing Offenses

Pts/game
Pats 26.3, 7th
TB 24.6, 15th

Rush yards/game
TB 98, 17th
Pats 112, 24th

Passing yards/game
TB 225, 9th
Pats 238, 13th
Click to expand...
While there's no denying these numbers , it does overlook the strength of schedule comparison. TB has played:
ATL
HOU
NYJ
PHI
SEA
SF
DET
NO

Pats have only played 3 teams with a winning record and one of them is Carolina. Offensively, TB has also lost Evans, Godwin, Egbuka and Irving for long spells. They are also at home and coming off of a bye so they could regain some health at the skill position. To me, this is the true benchmark game of the season. Cannot wait for Sunday.
 
3 Point Stan said:
While there's no denying these numbers , it does overlook the strength of schedule comparison. TB has played:
ATL
HOU
NYJ
PHI
SEA
SF
DET
NO

Pats have only played 3 teams with a winning record and one of them is Carolina. Offensively, TB has also lost Evans, Godwin, Egbuka and Irving for long spells. They are also at home and coming off of a bye so they could regain some health at the skill position. To me, this is the true benchmark game of the season. Cannot wait for Sunday.
Click to expand...

A victory is a victory, but in those first three TB wins were won by margins of 3, 1, and 2 points, so TB is not exactly blowing teams away. Their scoring differential this year is +19, which is pretty low for a team with a 6-2 record.

I think the Patriots can win this easily if they play turnover-free football (which, granted, isn't something they've done a lot this year).
 
The bucks have had something like 15 sacks in their last 3 games.
Please take care of yourself Drake.
 
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