NFL current records vs winning teams

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Giant Octopodes

Giant Octopodes

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Here is the full 32-team list, separated by conference and sorted from best to worst based on their win percentage against teams with a winning record.
All data is based on the game logs pulled for the teams with winning records, compiled (through Week 11 of the 2025 season). Let me know if you find any inaccuracies.
🏈 American Football Conference (AFC) Standings
| Team | Overall Record | Record vs. Winners | Win % vs. Winners |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers | (7-3) | 3-1 | .750 |
| New England Patriots | (9-2) | 2-1 | .667 |
| Indianapolis Colts | (8-2) | 2-2 | .500 |
| Buffalo Bills | (6-3) | 1-1 | .500 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | (5-4) | 2-2 | .500 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | (5-4) | 2-3 | .400 |
| Denver Broncos | (8-2) | 1-2 | .333 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | (3-7) | 2-4 | .333 |
| Houston Texans | (2-8) | 2-5 | .286 |
| Cleveland Browns | (4-6) | 1-3 | .250 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | (5-4) | 1-4 | .200 |
| Miami Dolphins | (3-7) | 1-4 | .200 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | (3-7) | 1-6 | .143 |
| Baltimore Ravens | (4-5) | 0-5 | .000 |
| New York Jets | (2-7) | 0-5 | .000 |
| Tennessee Titans | (3-7) | 0-6 | .000 |
🏈 National Football Conference (NFC) Standings
| Team | Overall Record | Record vs. Winners | Win % vs. Winners |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Eagles | (7-2) | 4-1 | .800 |
| Green Bay Packers | (5-3-1) | 2-1 | .667 |
| Los Angeles Rams | (7-2) | 3-2 | .600 |
| Seattle Seahawks | (7-2) | 2-2 | .500 |
| Detroit Lions | (6-3) | 2-2 | .500 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | (6-3) | 2-3 | .400 |
| San Francisco 49ers | (6-4) | 2-3 | .400 |
| Minnesota Vikings | (4-5) | 2-3 | .400 |
| New York Giants | (2-8) | 2-5 | .286 |
| Carolina Panthers | (1-9) | 1-3 | .250 |
| Atlanta Falcons | (4-6) | 1-4 | .200 |
| Washington Commanders | (3-7) | 1-5 | .167 |
| Chicago Bears | (6-3) | 0-1 | .000 |
| Dallas Cowboys | (4-5-1) | 0-3-1 | .000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | (2-8) | 0-5 | .000 |
| New Orleans Saints | (2-8) | 0-7 | .000 |

This is largely why the schedule knocks on the Patriots ring hollow, they’ve had few games vs winning teams but their record vs winning teams is among the best in the league. And it’s also why I think the Chiefs are actually overrated right now and expect them to lose tomorrow- their stats are largely a product of beating up on bad teams, both their win record vs other winning teams and Mahomes’ passer rating vs them are, to say the least, less than impressive. It’s funny though, many of the same people decrying the Pats as a product of their schedule are in full fledged excuse mode for the Chiefs. It just shows that it’s more about them wanting to hold on to their preseason expectations than the product put on the field.
 
Giant Octopodes said:
This is largely why the schedule knocks on the Patriots ring hollow, they’ve had few games vs winning teams but their record vs winning teams is among the best in the league. And it’s also why I think the Chiefs are actually overrated right now and expect them to lose tomorrow- their stats are largely a product of beating up on bad teams, both their win record vs other winning teams and Mahomes’ passer rating vs them are, to say the least, less than impressive. It’s funny though, many of the same people decrying the Pats as a product of their schedule are in full fledged excuse mode for the Chiefs. It just shows that it’s more about them wanting to hold on to their preseason expectations than the product put on the field.
Click to expand...

I agree about the Chiefs. They have been a poor road team this year (1-3) and are on the road tomorrow against the Broncos.
 
I put this in another thread but I think it's also pertinent here. Every team plays games against losing teams.
Winning those games is key for a team's standing. Losing to a sub .500 team can sink a team's standing, i.e. Bills this year.

G5zO5yzWIAAsuL4
 
Bills fans crying about the Pats soft schedule is so cringe, look at who they’ve played and who they’ve lost too. And a lot of them actually think they’re going to come into Gillette and smoke the Pats at home.

As for the Chefs, they’re frauds and there is a good chance they could miss the playoffs.
 
I think with the Chiefs it's been more about people coming back from injuries and the team finding it's stride. Similar for Ravens.

...but some of it is also confirmation of priors.
 
AkPatsFan said:
Bills fans crying about the Pats soft schedule is so cringe, look at who they’ve played and who they’ve lost too. And a lot of them actually think they’re going to come into Gillette and smoke the Pats at home.

As for the Chefs, they’re frauds and there is a good chance they could miss the playoffs.
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The Bills play 3 games different from the Patriots. If they're as good as their fans seem to think they are, it shouldn't be a problem.
 
TommyD420 said:
The Bills play 3 games different from the Patriots. If they're as good as their fans seem to think they are, it shouldn't be a problem.
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Flagg the Wanderer said:
5
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AkPatsFan said:
It’s 3, Chefs, Philly and Houston.
Click to expand...
Flagg the Wanderer said:
Plus 2 against NE vs 2 against BUF.
Click to expand...

The actual answer is 17.

Using Heraclitus's concept of "You can't step in the same river twice" it's clear that each time you play an opponent, you're dealing with a team you haven't played before that season (or ever): the team you're facing has a unique injury profile, it will have some rookies with only a few games of experience or perhaps almost a whole season of experience. It may be dealing with some fatigue factor due to travel or short-week games, and all sorts of other quantifiable and unquantifiable differences (e.g. need to win to qualify for playoffs vs. playoff seeding already determined).

And yes, some teams are stronger than others, but even the weakest teams consist of athletes that have been determined to be the best of the top-ranked college programs, or athletes from other programs who are deemed to be even better than their counterparts from the football factories.

Athletes on the weak teams are given the same intense coaching during the week that everyone else in the league gets, and even when they're not in playoff contention, those athletes are playing for their jobs in the next regime or hoping to get a free agency contract. They're incentivized to play well, even when they know they're on a team that isn't going anywhere.

So every game for every team each week is unique in the challenges it presents. No team has an easy schedule - any opponent can rise up and give the favored team a good contest.

Naturally, the best teams usually beat the poor teams, due to advantages in talent and coaching and match-ups. But nothing is guaranteed; that's why there are upsets that no one sees coming, like last week's Bills/Dolphins game.

The exception to the above is the Chiefs. The advantage of playing with the zebras on your side contributes heavily to the probability of victory, no matter the team's schedule looks like. :cool:
 
Giant Octopodes said:
Here is the full 32-team list, separated by conference and sorted from best to worst based on their win percentage against teams with a winning record.
All data is based on the game logs pulled for the teams with winning records, compiled (through Week 11 of the 2025 season). Let me know if you find any inaccuracies.
🏈 American Football Conference (AFC) Standings
| Team | Overall Record | Record vs. Winners | Win % vs. Winners |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers | (7-3) | 3-1 | .750 |
| New England Patriots | (9-2) | 2-1 | .667 |
| Indianapolis Colts | (8-2) | 2-2 | .500 |
| Buffalo Bills | (6-3) | 1-1 | .500 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | (5-4) | 2-2 | .500 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | (5-4) | 2-3 | .400 |
| Denver Broncos | (8-2) | 1-2 | .333 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | (3-7) | 2-4 | .333 |
| Houston Texans | (2-8) | 2-5 | .286 |
| Cleveland Browns | (4-6) | 1-3 | .250 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | (5-4) | 1-4 | .200 |
| Miami Dolphins | (3-7) | 1-4 | .200 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | (3-7) | 1-6 | .143 |
| Baltimore Ravens | (4-5) | 0-5 | .000 |
| New York Jets | (2-7) | 0-5 | .000 |
| Tennessee Titans | (3-7) | 0-6 | .000 |
🏈 National Football Conference (NFC) Standings
| Team | Overall Record | Record vs. Winners | Win % vs. Winners |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Eagles | (7-2) | 4-1 | .800 |
| Green Bay Packers | (5-3-1) | 2-1 | .667 |
| Los Angeles Rams | (7-2) | 3-2 | .600 |
| Seattle Seahawks | (7-2) | 2-2 | .500 |
| Detroit Lions | (6-3) | 2-2 | .500 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | (6-3) | 2-3 | .400 |
| San Francisco 49ers | (6-4) | 2-3 | .400 |
| Minnesota Vikings | (4-5) | 2-3 | .400 |
| New York Giants | (2-8) | 2-5 | .286 |
| Carolina Panthers | (1-9) | 1-3 | .250 |
| Atlanta Falcons | (4-6) | 1-4 | .200 |
| Washington Commanders | (3-7) | 1-5 | .167 |
| Chicago Bears | (6-3) | 0-1 | .000 |
| Dallas Cowboys | (4-5-1) | 0-3-1 | .000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | (2-8) | 0-5 | .000 |
| New Orleans Saints | (2-8) | 0-7 | .000 |

This is largely why the schedule knocks on the Patriots ring hollow, they’ve had few games vs winning teams but their record vs winning teams is among the best in the league. And it’s also why I think the Chiefs are actually overrated right now and expect them to lose tomorrow- their stats are largely a product of beating up on bad teams, both their win record vs other winning teams and Mahomes’ passer rating vs them are, to say the least, less than impressive. It’s funny though, many of the same people decrying the Pats as a product of their schedule are in full fledged excuse mode for the Chiefs. It just shows that it’s more about them wanting to hold on to their preseason expectations than the product put on the field.
Click to expand...
All that matters is the script…
 
TipRoast said:
I agree about the Chiefs. They have been a poor road team this year (1-3) and are on the road tomorrow against the Broncos.
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Haven't you made charts using AI?
Can you make your own league wide power ranking?
If interested.
 
sg14 said:
Haven't you made charts using AI?
Can you make your own league wide power ranking?
If interested.
Click to expand...

It takes a bit of back-and-forth with an AI to get it to produce the charts you want with the data subsuming those charts being 100% reliable.

Many AIs don't have access to real-time data and are using LLMs (large-language models) that have data up to 2024, but nothing later. If using one of those then you have to provide it with all the data in order to get it to produce what you desire. And if you're using one of AIs that can access the web, they sometimes will confuse, for example, mock drafts with real drafts, or will bring in numbers from a simulation instead of using real-world results.

And they'll lie to you. After spotting an error, you can tell them about it, ask them to go back and check their work, and they'll update and fix the error you spotted and claim that the new table or graph or whatever has been checked. And then you'll find another error, and point it out, and they'll say "Oh, good one, thanks for keeping me honest. I'll do better from this point forward."

But they won't, and when you ask them why they continue to make mistakes, they'll tell you that it's part of their current algorithmic structure, and the version you're working with can't fix itself during the conversation you're having, you'll have to wait until the next update cycle when (maybe) that particular shortcoming will be addressed.

With that said, though, if you're patient and willing to keep tweaking your requests, you can get AIs to produce tables and graphs that illuminate some corner of the NFL that isn't being addressed by the "Hail To The Chiefs" mass media sycophants.
 
AkPatsFan said:
Just stop already, nobody cares about this garbage anyways.
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Sorry, but I find it humorous. I don't understand why you keep saying there are 14 common opponents. Unless you're just messing with us?

Bring it down to the division level. Six teams. 4 common opponents for each team. Jets, Jets, Dolphins, Dolphins

Pats play Bill, Bills, but the Bills do not play against the bills, so this is not a common opponent. Only one of Pats and Bill play against the Bills, so the Bills are not a common opponent.

Same logic applies to Pats. The Bill play against them but the Pats do not.

IDK, I think you're messing with us.
 
spacecrime said:
Sorry, but I find it humorous. I don't understand why you keep saying there are 14 common opponents. Unless you're just messing with us?

Bring it down to the division level. Six teams. 4 common opponents for each team. Jets, Jets, Dolphins, Dolphins

Pats play Bill, Bills, but the Bills do not play against the bills, so this is not a common opponent. Only one of Pats and Bill play against the Bills, so the Bills are not a common opponent.

Same logic applies to Pats. The Bill play against them but the Pats do not.

IDK, I think you're messing with us.
Click to expand...
This is my last post on this stupidity.

My point is that the Bills and Pats play 3 different opponents because of sos, Bills: Eagles, Chefs, Houston.
Pats: Raiders, Titans and Giants.

That’s it, that’s the point that you want to continually argue over and I’m fucking done with it. Have a nice day.
 
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