The 2020 General Election

Baron Samedi

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FYI, I just went back to review and compare...

The day prior to the 2016 election, Trump's RCP Approval average was 42.7%.

Thought the board may find that interesting going forward.
 

BostonTim

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FYI, I just went back to review and compare...

The day prior to the 2016 election, Trump's RCP Approval average was 42.7%.

Thought the board may find that interesting going forward.

It seems that absent a cataclysmic event the general might be just great fun. Knock on wood.

Cheers
 

O_P_T

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From Gallup

Record-High Optimism on Personal Finances in U.S.

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Americans' views on their personal financial situation have been climbing since 2018 and are now at or near record highs in Gallup's trends. Nearly six in 10 Americans (59%) now say they are better off financially than they were a year ago, up from 50% last year.



These data come from Gallup's annual Mood of the Nation survey, conducted Jan. 2-15. The survey was completed after months of historically low levels of unemployment and as the Dow Jones Industrial Average neared the 30,000 mark for the first time.

The current 59% of Americans who say they are better off financially than they were a year ago is essentially tied for the all-time high of 58% in January 1999. That was recorded during the dot-com boom, with conditions similar to the current state of the economy -- a stock market rocketing to then-record highs and unemployment at multidecade lows -- though GDP growth was higher at that time.

From 1998 to 2000, at least half of Americans rated their financial situation better than that of a year ago. However, in most surveys from 2001 to 2018, the percentage saying their personal finances were better off than the previous year was under 50% -- with a low of 23% in May 2009, during the Great Recession.

Record-High Level of Optimism About Financial Future
In addition to U.S. adults' highly positive report on their current financial situation, Americans are also expressing peak optimism about their future personal financial situation. About three in four U.S. adults (74%) predict they will be better off financially a year from now, the highest in Gallup's trend since 1977.



Since Gallup began asking this question in 1977, Americans have consistently been more optimistic than pessimistic about where their personal financial situation is headed, with more saying their finances will be better in a year than they are now. The previous record high, 71%, was seen in 1998 during the dot-com boom.

Partisan Divide in Optimism
Given today's highly politically polarized environment, it is perhaps not surprising that Republicans and Democrats see their personal finances differently. There is a 33-percentage-point gap between Republicans' (76%) and Democrats' (43%) reports of being financially better off today than they were a year ago.

There is also a partisan gap when it comes to optimism about one's future finances, though it is smaller than the difference seen in attitudes toward current conditions. Among Republicans, 83% say their personal financial situation will be better in a year, compared with 60% of Democrats.

Independents fall in between on both measures, with 58% saying they are better off now than a year ago and 76% reporting they will be better off next year.

Bottom Line
Americans' levels of optimism about both their current financial situation and where it will be a year from now are at or near record highs. These views align with President Donald Trump's contention that Americans are doing better under his presidency, and with his use of the economy and job growth as key selling points for his reelection.
Republicans' positive views on their finances are something of a given for a GOP president, at least during good economic times. The majority levels of optimism among political independents are more significant for Trump's reelection prospects -- and something Trump will want to maintain in 2020 to stay competitive.

Of course, things could change between now and November, but if these numbers hold, Trump would be very difficult to defeat.

If the Dems nominate one of the candidates that advocate any of the socialist type programs/policies that have been cited in the campaigns to date, one would think that the 74% who think they'll be better off next year would have little or no interest in adopting such policies.
 
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Baron Samedi

Baron Samedi

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From Gallup



Of course, things could change between now and November, but if these numbers hold, Trump would be very difficult to defeat.

If the Dems nominate one of the candidates that advocate any of the socialist type programs/policies that have been cited in the campaigns to date, one would think that the 74% who think they'll be better off next year would have little or no interest in adopting such policies.

The wife was watching MSNBC the other day, and they were talking about how this poll was biased.

Can you believe that?

Now, even Gallup is considered right wing by the MSM! ROFL
 

BostonTim

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The wife was watching MSNBC the other day, and they were talking about how this poll was biased.

Can you believe that?

Now, even Gallup is considered right wing by the MSM! ROFL

What? The pollees didn't include any illegal immigrants? :shrug:

Cheers
 
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Baron Samedi

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ICYMI: Dems’ Debacle – are the Democrats actually trying to lose to Trump on purpose?

If the Democrats are trying to lose to Donald Trump in the upcoming election – and there is strong evidence to suggest just that – they are going the right way about it.

From a vote-counting disaster in Iowa to petty politics from Nancy Pelosi during the State of the Union, and then the attempt to impeach the president predictably collapsing; in just a matter of days the Democrats have made Trump look like an adult, presidential and even… innocent.

That’s no small achievement, so ICYMI asks: are they trying to do it on purpose?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N562indb1Qw&feature=emb_logo
 

Dwight Schrute

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ICYMI: Dems’ Debacle – are the Democrats actually trying to lose to Trump on purpose?

If the Democrats are trying to lose to Donald Trump in the upcoming election – and there is strong evidence to suggest just that – they are going the right way about it.

From a vote-counting disaster in Iowa to petty politics from Nancy Pelosi during the State of the Union, and then the attempt to impeach the president predictably collapsing; in just a matter of days the Democrats have made Trump look like an adult, presidential and even… innocent.

That’s no small achievement, so ICYMI asks: are they trying to do it on purpose?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N562indb1Qw&feature=emb_logo

It would be the wise play. But....

When have they shown a wise choice in the past 4 years?

They should tone it back and focus their energies to try and hold the House. But they won’t.

And they should more or less concede this one. Put their time, focus, and energy in building an excellent candidate for 2024.
 

BostonTim

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It would be the wise play. But....

When have they shown a wise choice in the past 4 years?

They should tone it back and focus their energies to try and hold the House. But they won’t.

And they should more or less concede this one. Put their time, focus, and energy in building an excellent candidate for 2024.

And maybe even in raising some money.

Cheers
 
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Baron Samedi

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Group threatens lawsuits over ‘suspiciously high’ voter registration rates in swing states

Voters in Florida, Michigan and Colorado are threatening to sue their states after an independent organization discovered that each has counties with unusually high voter registration rates -- in some cases, they found more registered voters than actual people eligible to vote.

The data was compiled by the Honest Elections Project, a new nonprofit organization that blames the seemingly implausible statistics on a failure of states to properly update voter rolls to account for people moving, dying or being incarcerated.

The group examined publicly available registration records and compared it with citizen voting-age data from the U.S. Census Bureau, describing the figures as "suspiciously high."

“All three states have multiple counties where voter registration rates exceed 90 percent, in some cases they exceed 100 percent. In the last election in 2018, the nationwide registration rate according to the U.S. Census Bureau was 66.9 percent. That disparity is a clear sign these states aren’t maintaining accurate voter rolls,” said Jason Snead, executive director of the Honest Elections Project. Snead was formerly a senior policy analyst at the conservative Heritage Foundation.

Fox News reached out to each state's secretary of state's office, but none immediately responded.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/gr...high-voter-registration-rates-in-swing-states
 

Dwight Schrute

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You need a thumbprint to fvcking get into Disney. Why cant we institute such basic technology in our elections?
 

johnlocke

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racist...:coffee:

I don't fully understand the push against voter ID because I haven't really looked into it or thought on it very deeply.

Here in NH we have had voter ID since I was old enough to vote for Harry Brown and there are no issues.

Then again we are like one of the whitest states in the country, I would guess, so maybe we are being completely racist.
 

O.Z.O.

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Only white people have thumbs?

Only billionaires have thumbs.

---------- Post added at 02:58 PM ---------- Previous post was at 02:56 PM ----------

I don't fully understand the push against voter ID because I haven't really looked into it or thought on it very deeply.

Here in NH we have had voter ID since I was old enough to vote for Harry Brown and there are no issues.

Then again we are like one of the whitest states in the country, I would guess, so maybe we are being completely racist.

It's exactly what it appears to be on the surface. Think of how many things in our society you have to show ID for. The idea that having to show it is somehow whatevercraptermthedemocratscomeupthatishypocriticalandmeaningless is actually laughable.
 
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Baron Samedi

Baron Samedi

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I don't fully understand the push against voter ID because I haven't really looked into it or thought on it very deeply.

Here in NH we have had voter ID since I was old enough to vote for Harry Brown and there are no issues.

Then again we are like one of the whitest states in the country, I would guess, so maybe we are being completely racist.

Yeah, it's racist because voter ID laws disproportionately affect minorities that don't have legal ID's.

The fact that it hinders organized voter fraud is totally coincidental.
 

O.Z.O.

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Yeah, it's racist because voter ID laws disproportionately affect minorities that don't have legal ID's.

The fact that it hinders organized voter fraud is totally coincidental.

that's the lame, tired lie they like to keep telling. It's okay though, because things like this telegraph the true disdain they have for minorities beyond being an expected voting block. This and AA.
 
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