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Data-driven decision-making is science and art.
Jeff Howe speculates what a trade for Julio Jones would cost the Pats. At 32, he's still a great WR1 who demands double coverage more often than not. He
would free up the inside guys, TEs and slots, to do their thing more effectively.
Jones isn’t playing at a Hall of Fame level anymore, but he can give the Patriots a legitimate threat outside the numbers for an offense that is so heavily geared to dominate the middle of the field with a power running game, tight ends Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith and receivers Nelson Agholor, Kendrick Bourne and Jakobi Meyers.
There’s some obvious injury concern with Jones, and the Patriots frequently execute trades with conditional parameters, so that’s the reason behind that part of the deal. If Jones can’t stay healthy or misses as few as three games, hey, at least they went for it with a third-rounder. If he’s healthy, the second-round pick won’t be missed.
Jones’ cap hit isn’t a big deal. The Patriots could extend his contract and slice it in half. Keeping him in town on a longer basis would be more beneficial to Mac Jones for whenever the first-rounder wins the job.
As for Harry, the Patriots are still waiting for him to pan out. The clock is ticking there, and the addition of Jones would make it incredibly difficult for Harry to win a job out of camp. The Falcons will likely get a second-round offer elsewhere, so the strategy here is that the Falcons might be intrigued by the possibility Harry could improve with a change of scenery. — Jeff Howe
would free up the inside guys, TEs and slots, to do their thing more effectively.
New England Patriots
The offer: Receiver N’Keal Harry and a conditional third-round pick that will become a second-rounder if Jones plays at least 15 games.Jones isn’t playing at a Hall of Fame level anymore, but he can give the Patriots a legitimate threat outside the numbers for an offense that is so heavily geared to dominate the middle of the field with a power running game, tight ends Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith and receivers Nelson Agholor, Kendrick Bourne and Jakobi Meyers.
There’s some obvious injury concern with Jones, and the Patriots frequently execute trades with conditional parameters, so that’s the reason behind that part of the deal. If Jones can’t stay healthy or misses as few as three games, hey, at least they went for it with a third-rounder. If he’s healthy, the second-round pick won’t be missed.
Jones’ cap hit isn’t a big deal. The Patriots could extend his contract and slice it in half. Keeping him in town on a longer basis would be more beneficial to Mac Jones for whenever the first-rounder wins the job.
As for Harry, the Patriots are still waiting for him to pan out. The clock is ticking there, and the addition of Jones would make it incredibly difficult for Harry to win a job out of camp. The Falcons will likely get a second-round offer elsewhere, so the strategy here is that the Falcons might be intrigued by the possibility Harry could improve with a change of scenery. — Jeff Howe