Courtesy ESPN Stats & Information
The AFC East projects as one of the most competitive in the NFL. The Bills (ranked fifth in the FPI), Dolphins (11th) and Jets (12th) are all in the top 12, according to ESPN Analytics, making it the only division with three top-12 teams. The only other divisions with multiple teams in the top 12 are the AFC North (Baltimore and Cincinnati), NFC North (Detroit and Green Bay) and NFC East (Dallas and Philadelphia). The Bills are projected to win the division at 44%.
According to ESPN BET, this is the division with the most uncertainty. Buffalo is the favorite to win the division at +175, the longest odds among any division favorite. It's also the only division to have three teams with odds of 2-1 or shorter.
Buffalo also has the highest win total in the division at ESPN BET (10.5), with the only the Chiefs, 49ers (both 11.5) with higher projects numbers. New England has a win total of 4.5, the lowest in the NFL, thanks in part to a schedule that ESPN Analytics rates as the hardest in the NFL.
The Bills have won the AFC East each of the last four seasons but have no Super Bowl appearances to show for it. They were eliminated by the Chiefs in three of the four seasons, with the other loss coming to the Bengals (2022 AFC divisional playoff). In each season, the team that beat the Bills ended up representing the AFC in the Super Bowl.
The Dolphins made the playoffs in consecutive seasons for the first time since making it in five straight from 1997-2001. However, they are still seeking their first playoff win since 2000, only nine months after Dan Marino retired. That is the longest active drought in the NFL.
Aaron Rodgers has 10 seasons where he threw for 4,000 yards in his career, tied with Matt Ryan for the fifth most all-time. The Jets have had just one season where they had a 4,000-yard passer in their history (1967 by Joe Namath in the AFL, which was the first time a player threw for 4,000 yards in a season in AFL/NFL history).
The Patriots went 4-13 and missed the postseason for a second consecutive season. It's the first time the franchise has missed out on the playoffs in consecutive seasons since 1999 and 2000 -- the end of the Pete Carroll era in New England and the start of the Bill Belichick tenure.