Week 10, 2020, Pats vs Ravens

Tough one coming up Sunday night. Turnovers could be key.
Ravens are 7 point favorites.

The Ravens are touchdown favorites over the host New England Patriots ahead of their game Sunday night, according to Las Vegas sportsbooks.

After a 24-10 road win Sunday over the Indianapolis Colts, the Ravens (6-2) are favored by seven points over New England (3-5). The Patriots ended a four-game losing streak Monday night with a narrow 30-27 victory over the Joe Flacco-led and still-winless New York Jets.

The Ravens are undefeated in road games this season, while New England has been uneven at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots opened the season with a 21-11 win over the Miami Dolphins before routing the Las Vegas Raiders two weeks later, 36-20, in Foxborough, Massachusetts. But they lost to the visiting Denver Broncos, 18-12, and San Francisco 49ers, 33-6, last month.

Sunday’s game will mark the second matchup between former NFL Most Valuable Players Cam Newton and Lamar Jackson, but their first as starters. In October 2018, Newton (21-for-29 for 219 yards and three total touchdowns) outdueled Flacco (22-for-39 for 192 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions) as the Carolina Panthers rolled to a 36-21 win.

Jackson is 11-3-1 against the spread in road games as a starter, according to CBS Sports. The Ravens have won their past 10 regular-season games when favored by six or more points, while New England is 0-3 this season as an underdog.

The Patriots lead the all-time series 10-4, but the Ravens ended a three-game losing streak last year with a 37-20 home win in prime time over then-undefeated New England. The Ravens have won twice on the road in the series, but never in the regular season.

The over/under for Sunday’s game is 41½ points.

 
PFF's Mike Renner on teams figuring out how to defend the Ravens

...the Ravens' scheme is one of a kind compared to the rest of the NFL. Just like the Patriots' deployment of quarters coverages against the Los Angeles Rams in the Super Bowl put Sean McVay’s offense in a funk that lasted throughout the next season, there’s a legitimate worry that unique offensive schemes can be “figured out” to a degree with certain defensive tactics.
Let’s look into what the Kansas City Chiefs, Cincinnati Bengals and now the Patriots — three of Jackson's four worst passing grades on the season, with the other being against a Steelers defense that gives everyone fits — did to neutralize the reigning MVP.

People always say it, nowhere is faster at learning than the NFL. You may have a unique, successful strategy one season but sure as hell, in the offseason, your rivals will be sure to adjust for it and nullify it.

Works on both sides of the ball. The Bears looked invincible in 1985 on defense with that Buddy Ryan 46 defense. But the egg heads like Bill Walsh figured how to deal with them in the offseason and the Bears were finished. Just like that, even with all those superb defensive players, the other coaches had figured them out.
 
i could be wrong but i think joe gibbs actually devised the formation to handle the 46. can't remember what it was tho.
 
i could be wrong but i think joe gibbs actually devised the formation to handle the 46. can't remember what it was tho.
Though this doesn't directly confirm that, I think teams just going away from the two back set and exploiting the seam with a tight end started to take care of it. From BB on Ryan's passing:

A lot of the success that Buddy had with the 46 defense came in the ‘80s when there was a lot of two-back offense. It was one of the things that probably drove the two-back offense out.
In a two-back set, I’d say it was probably a lot cleaner and it always gave you an extra blitzer that was hard for the offense. Even if they seven-man protected on play-action, there was always an eighth guy there somewhere. You didn’t have to bring all eight; if you just brought the right one and they didn’t have him or somebody would have to have two guys and that creates some problems. I think that’s what Buddy really, where the genius of that was; he had by formation a different combination and group of blitzes so depending on what formation you were in, then he ran a blitz that would attack that formation and then when you changed formations, then he would change blitzes. Now, plus the fact [he] had Dan Hampton, Richard Dent, Mike Singletary, [Otis] Wilson, [Wilbur] Marshall, that was a pretty good group there. You could have probably played a lot of things and that defense would have looked pretty good, especially when they put Hampton on the nose. That was pretty un-blockable.
 
i could be wrong but i think joe gibbs actually devised the formation to handle the 46. can't remember what it was tho.
The ‘Skins went in to Chicago in the playoffs. The Bears had just followed up the ‘85 season with a 14-2 mark and were the heavies that year again. The ‘Skins pushed them up and down the field and effectively made them one-season wonders. Joe Gibbs was on Coryell’s staff in San Diego and is one of the greatest offensive football minds the game has ever seen. 3 Lombardis, 3 QBs.
 
But, in sticking with a theme-

John Harbaugh could possibly be the worst coach in the league. These fuckers are screaming for his head again. They’re still 2games up on the Pats and the Pats own the tie breaker.
 
But, in sticking with a theme-

John Harbaugh could possibly be the worst coach in the league. These fuckers are screaming for his head again. They’re still 2games up on the Pats and the Pats own the tie breaker.
Are you forgetting about adam gase. He managed to ruin both Miami & NY . Getting rid of their best players .
 
Are you forgetting about adam gase. He managed to ruin both Miami & NY . Getting rid of their best players .
Harbaugh is worse and I’ll tell you why- Adam Gase sucks at every aspect of the game. Harbaugh, as much as i hate to admit it, is great at talent evaulation. It’s rare when the Ravens whiff on a draft pick. No, Harbaugh’s suckitude comes in his inability to be flexible. I know when Jr saw them last year they were 0-17 ingames they trailed at halftime under Harbaugh. Think it’s 1-17 now because i believe they were trailing the Clots when they played them.
 
Harbaugh is worse and I’ll tell you why- Adam Gase sucks at every aspect of the game. Harbaugh, as much as i hate to admit it, is great at talent evaulation. It’s rare when the Ravens whiff on a draft pick. No, Harbaugh’s suckitude comes in his inability to be flexible. I know when Jr saw them last year they were 0-17 ingames they trailed at halftime under Harbaugh. Think it’s 1-17 now because i believe they were trailing the Clots when they played them
If Gase sucks at every aspect of game. Then that make him by far the worse. Maybe you meant worst coach for in game adjustments when trailing. At least he does Win games .
 
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Thanks for the info, Midgar. I know, Mazz is a TeamBradyFan like you. I know her from before she even posted here ; in fact, I was the one who told her about PP.


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