Odds: Pats are 7 pt favorites. O/U is 46.5
www.patspulpit.com
Giants key stats
Over the weekend, the Giants become the first team in the NFL officially eliminated from playoff contention. Dropping to 2-10 because of an overtime loss to the Detroit Lions, it is easy to dismiss them as one of the worst teams in football, but as a look at their numbers shows, the situation is more complex than that — even though that did not prevent them from firing head coach Brian Daboll earlier this month.
Record: 2-10 (4th NFC West)
Scoring differential: -70 (27th)
Turnover differential: -6 (t-26th)
Offense: 22.0 points/game (22nd), 348.5 yards/game (11th), 13 giveaways (t-13th), 0.051 EPA/play (12th), 0.122 EPA/dropback (12th), -0.053 EPA/run (18th)
Defense: 27.8 points/game (30th), 385.0 yards/game (30th), 7 takeaways (30th), 0.149 EPA/play (31st), 0.124 EPA/dropback (23rd), 0.193 EPA/run (32nd)
The Giants’ season so far is a tale of two units. The offense, despite starting three different quarterbacks and missing their No. 1 running back and wide receiver, has performed at a surprisingly solid level so far: while New York is still only ranked 22nd in points per game, the group is above average in multiple categories — not exactly what you would expect from a two-win team 12 seasons in.
The defense, however, is a different story (which led to coordinator Shane Bowen recently following Daboll on the chopping block). The unit has been abysmal against the run so far, ranking worst in the NFL in yards, yards per attempt, and EPA per carry. The pass defense has performed slightly better, but still not at a level that would allow New York to take advantage of an at-times good offense.
The biggest question for the Giants heading into Week 13 is who their starting quarterback will be, first-round draft pick Jaxson Dart or veteran backup Jameis Winston. Under normal circumstances, Dart would be their guy, but he has missed back-to-back games after sustaining a concussion; Winston, an offseason free agency pickup who started the season as QB3, has performed decently in his two starts.
If Dart returns to the lineup, as is expected, the Patriots would go up against a quarterback who has shown promise since overtaking veteran Russell Wilson on the depth chart. In his seven starts, Dart completed 128 of 204 pass attempts (62.7%) for 1,417 yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions, positing an EPA of 0.183 per dropback good enough for ninth in the NFL over that particular span.
Whoever is starting on Monday, however, will have to operate without the Giants’ top two weapons. Running back Cam Skattebo and wide receiver Malik Nabers are both out for the season due to injury. Replacing them in the lineup are Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Wan’Dale Robinson, respectively: a versatile back, Tracy Jr. has touched the ball 124 times for 604 yards and a touchdown this season; Robinson has been on the receiving end of 66 passes that he took for 794 yards and three scores.
View: https://x.com/ezlazar/status/1993757685141946593
Giants' run defense vs. Pats RB TreVeyon Henderson
The Giants are last in the NFL against the run and have issues with running backs receiving the ball as well. They are allowing 157.7 yards per game on the ground and are 31st in the red zone. Last week in Detroit, they gave up 237 yards on the ground, including two touchdown runs of 39 and 69 yards to Jahmyr Gibbs.
Which safety the Pats will counter with is the question. Will it be Jaylinn Hawkins or Craig Woodson, or a combination of both? Hawkins is ranked fifth out of 94 NFL safeties this year by Pro Football Focus.
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We should also keep an eye on Dexter Lawrence's status . Reports I've read say Lawrence re-injured the elbow that ended his season prematurely last year in last week's game.
In recent games, the Giants have been hurt by 4th quarter defensive collapses.
Go Pats!
Patriots opponent preview: Get to know the New York Giants
Everything you need to know about the Patriots’ Week 13 opponent.
www.patspulpit.com
Giants key stats
Over the weekend, the Giants become the first team in the NFL officially eliminated from playoff contention. Dropping to 2-10 because of an overtime loss to the Detroit Lions, it is easy to dismiss them as one of the worst teams in football, but as a look at their numbers shows, the situation is more complex than that — even though that did not prevent them from firing head coach Brian Daboll earlier this month.
Record: 2-10 (4th NFC West)
Scoring differential: -70 (27th)
Turnover differential: -6 (t-26th)
Offense: 22.0 points/game (22nd), 348.5 yards/game (11th), 13 giveaways (t-13th), 0.051 EPA/play (12th), 0.122 EPA/dropback (12th), -0.053 EPA/run (18th)
Defense: 27.8 points/game (30th), 385.0 yards/game (30th), 7 takeaways (30th), 0.149 EPA/play (31st), 0.124 EPA/dropback (23rd), 0.193 EPA/run (32nd)
The Giants’ season so far is a tale of two units. The offense, despite starting three different quarterbacks and missing their No. 1 running back and wide receiver, has performed at a surprisingly solid level so far: while New York is still only ranked 22nd in points per game, the group is above average in multiple categories — not exactly what you would expect from a two-win team 12 seasons in.
The defense, however, is a different story (which led to coordinator Shane Bowen recently following Daboll on the chopping block). The unit has been abysmal against the run so far, ranking worst in the NFL in yards, yards per attempt, and EPA per carry. The pass defense has performed slightly better, but still not at a level that would allow New York to take advantage of an at-times good offense.
The biggest question for the Giants heading into Week 13 is who their starting quarterback will be, first-round draft pick Jaxson Dart or veteran backup Jameis Winston. Under normal circumstances, Dart would be their guy, but he has missed back-to-back games after sustaining a concussion; Winston, an offseason free agency pickup who started the season as QB3, has performed decently in his two starts.
If Dart returns to the lineup, as is expected, the Patriots would go up against a quarterback who has shown promise since overtaking veteran Russell Wilson on the depth chart. In his seven starts, Dart completed 128 of 204 pass attempts (62.7%) for 1,417 yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions, positing an EPA of 0.183 per dropback good enough for ninth in the NFL over that particular span.
Whoever is starting on Monday, however, will have to operate without the Giants’ top two weapons. Running back Cam Skattebo and wide receiver Malik Nabers are both out for the season due to injury. Replacing them in the lineup are Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Wan’Dale Robinson, respectively: a versatile back, Tracy Jr. has touched the ball 124 times for 604 yards and a touchdown this season; Robinson has been on the receiving end of 66 passes that he took for 794 yards and three scores.
View: https://x.com/ezlazar/status/1993757685141946593
New York Giants vs. Patriots: 3 matchups to watch in Week 13
The New York Giants take on the New England Patriots on Monday, and these three matchups could determine the Week 13 outcome.
giantswire.usatoday.com
Giants' run defense vs. Pats RB TreVeyon Henderson
The Giants are last in the NFL against the run and have issues with running backs receiving the ball as well. They are allowing 157.7 yards per game on the ground and are 31st in the red zone. Last week in Detroit, they gave up 237 yards on the ground, including two touchdown runs of 39 and 69 yards to Jahmyr Gibbs.
Giants TE Theo Johnson vs. Patriots' safeties
The Giants have wanted to lean on Theo Johnson more than they have thus far. He's been excellent at times, showing signs of breaking out, but then recedes with a bad drop or a missed opportunity. He has over 75 yards receiving in two of his last three.Which safety the Pats will counter with is the question. Will it be Jaylinn Hawkins or Craig Woodson, or a combination of both? Hawkins is ranked fifth out of 94 NFL safeties this year by Pro Football Focus.
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We should also keep an eye on Dexter Lawrence's status . Reports I've read say Lawrence re-injured the elbow that ended his season prematurely last year in last week's game.
In recent games, the Giants have been hurt by 4th quarter defensive collapses.
Go Pats!
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