Week 9 Patriots VS. Falcons 1pm 11/2/25

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Bijan Robinson reminds me of an Olympic downhill skier when changes directions. His lower legs are parallel and his torso is going in whatever direction.
 

2026 Atlanta Falcons Depth Chart | Ourlads.com

The most respected source for NFL Draft info among NFL Fans, Media, and Scouts, plus accurate, up to date NFL Depth Charts, Practice Squads and Rosters.
www.ourlads.com www.ourlads.com
Here is the Falcons depth chart as of 10/29.
Looks like Phenix is injured so we should be seeing Cousins. That is not all good news. They a decent receivers and Kirk will be out to prove he's not washed up.
The key to beating Atlanta is limiting Robinson. We have held other teams running games so far but Robinson is a different kind of cat.
Also, as in all games, don't turn the friggin ball over.
 
The Falcons' offensive strength plays right into the Pat's defensive strength, not too worried about Robinson. And signs are pointing to Penix playing Sunday, but we'll see, doesn't sound like a guy that will play unless he feels perfect, real warrior :rolleyes::

“No, I feel good. See, I don’t feel like i got to hold myself back. If I feel like that, I’m not going to go out there. Like I said, I want to be able to give my team my all. And that’s what they deserve because those guys are amazing,” he said. (Link)
 
Report is the Patriots are looking to add a running back very very soon.
 
jayShomp said:
The Falcons' offensive strength plays right into the Pat's defensive strength, not too worried about Robinson. And signs are pointing to Penix playing Sunday, but we'll see, doesn't sound like a guy that will play unless he feels perfect, real warrior :rolleyes::

“No, I feel good. See, I don’t feel like i got to hold myself back. If I feel like that, I’m not going to go out there. Like I said, I want to be able to give my team my all. And that’s what they deserve because those guys are amazing,” he said. (Link)
Click to expand...

I saw a Falcons game earlier this season, and Penix doesn't seem to have a very strong arm - he threw up some floaters to the tight end that I thought a competent DB or LB would be able to easily defend, and likely intercept.

Atlanta, when they're at home, sometimes is dangerous. But they're a different animal on the road (perhaps animal isn't the right term, they're more like a plant, or a mineral :biggrin: ).
 
Which Falcons team shows up? The 1 that lost to Carolina (30-0) and Miami (34-10) or the 1 that beat the Bills (24-14)?
Atlanta has a very good pass D but is bottom 10 in rush D. Expect the Pats to run the ball early to set up the pass.

Good review by Lazar



Patriots Offense Key: Utilizing Gap Runs to Find Explosive Plays in a Strength-on-Strength Matchup

After studying the Falcons this week, their scheme on defense caught the eye more than their offense, which is why the defense is playing above its talent level.
Stat, 2025 Season Patriots Offense Falcons Defense
Pass YPG 240.5 (9th) 149.1 (1st)
EPA/Pass +0.33 (2nd) +0.03 (12th)
Pass DVOA 44.7% (3rd) -5.7% (8th)
Explosives % 12.7% (2nd) 6.0% (2nd)

Statistically, the Patriots pass offense against the Falcons pass defense is a strength-on-strength matchup. Atlanta leads the NFL in pass defense (149.1 YPG), while the Patriots rank ninth in passing yards on offense (240.5 YPG). This is also one of the most explosive passing offenses (12.7% explosive play rate, 2nd in NFL) versus a defense built to prevent explosive pass plays (6.0%, 2nd in NFL).

Although the Falcons have some intriguing players on defense, this isn't the Browns defense in terms of personnel. But they're 13th in scoring defense thanks largely to a dynamic scheme.

Atlanta head coach Raheem Morris and DC Jeff Ulbrich are getting the most out of their players by running their version of the "Seattle-3" defense. The Falcons base their defense out of an odd front (3-4) while playing a league-high rate of single-high safety coverages (71.7%) and the second-highest rate of cover-three zone (45.3%).

In obvious passing situations, the Falcons are deploying a Brian Flores-like pressure package, showing cover zero and falling into five and six-man zone structures. Atlanta disguises coverage at the third-highest rate and runs zone blitzes or fire zones, trailing only Flores's Vikings defense in zone pressure rate this season (28%).
In the run game, the Falcons have struggled against gap schemes. In particular, Atlanta is giving up a league-high 6.9 yards per rush to power schemes and 5.1 yards per rush against counter runs (21st in the NFL), so run schemes with pulling linemen are causing problems for the Falcons.

As good as the Falcons pass defense has been, Atlanta is 24th in rush EPA and 29th in rush success rate, meaning there's a weakness to exploit in the Falcons run defense.
 
That pass defense is impressive .
149 yards allowed per game.

I know they love their two safties.
 
I had no idea their pass defense is that good. I haven't heard any of the talking heads calling this another big test for Maye, sounds like they should be.
 
Damn! No matter how early I post, someone else has gotten the jump on a game thread. MODS: Why not merge my Preview/Predictions thread with this one to save space. Thx OBF
 
jayShomp said:
I had no idea their pass defense is that good. I haven't heard any of the talking heads calling this another big test for Maye, sounds like they should be.
Click to expand...

We'll probably go heavy on the running game in this one.
 
ParanoidPatriot said:

2026 Atlanta Falcons Depth Chart | Ourlads.com

The most respected source for NFL Draft info among NFL Fans, Media, and Scouts, plus accurate, up to date NFL Depth Charts, Practice Squads and Rosters.
www.ourlads.com www.ourlads.com
Here is the Falcons depth chart as of 10/29.
Looks like Phenix is injured so we should be seeing Cousins. That is not all good news. They a decent receivers and Kirk will be out to prove he's not washed up.
The key to beating Atlanta is limiting Robinson. We have held other teams running games so far but Robinson is a different kind of cat.
Also, as in all games, don't turn the friggin ball over.
Click to expand...
Kirk Cousins was fucking terrible last week.
 
Watching some Penix film he has a tendency to have a bit of Joe Milton syndrome. He doesn't get his feet all the way set and throws an 80 mph checkdown to Bijan.
 
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