2019 Draft - WR Prospects The Patriots Way

Add his 10 5/8s mitts, his battle for 50/50s, and his propensity for just ragdolling smaller DBs and he’s been my fav even before the Combine.


I remember you saying that so kudos. If he's gone before the Pats have a chance at him, and he probably will be, Miles Boykin is 90% of Butler & he would be a great consolation prize.
 
I remember you saying that so kudos. If he's gone before the Pats have a chance at him, and he probably will be, Miles Boykin is 90% of Butler & he would be a great consolation prize.

Do you think BB would finally go Round 1 WR if he fell to us?

Need has never been greater and imo prospect has never been better.
 
Do you think BB would finally go Round 1 WR if he fell to us?

Need has never been greater and imo prospect has never been better.

Josh would really have to lobby hard, I'm guessing.

And I'm sure BB would make some type of "you traded up for Tebow" comment and then draft a fatty at 32.
 
Do you think BB would finally go Round 1 WR if he fell to us?

Need has never been greater and imo prospect has never been better.


I'm sure BB considers Butler if he's there but a WR in Rnd 1 isn't BB's mo.

Boykin would be good in the 2nd or early 3rd possibly and he can also play all 3 positions.
 
Fwiw, Bedard is all in on Isabella for the Patriots as an X receiver.
 
This sounds like the most BB like method...

And it works. Consistently. Staying away from skill positions early, and trading down works. For the life of me after watching this method work for 20 years I don’t understand pats fans who advocate for trading up/drafting skill guys early. I suppose Sony Michell is the exception to the rule, there will always be one. I’m hoping BB trades down and just stocks the lines and adds a linebackers or two. WR will work itself out.
 
A J Brown.


Thick stout physique, fast, elusive, YAC, good hands, explosive, good routes, slot or X - all against SEC competition - this guy projects well to the NFL.

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Although teammate D.K. Metcalf stole the show at the Combine, the most consistent producer at Ole Miss over the past three years has been A.J. Brown. After back-to-back seasons of 1,000 yards, 75-plus catches and receiving grades over 80.0, Brown is a receiver that shouldn’t be slept on in late April.

One of Brown’s best traits is his ability to make defenders miss using his instincts and speed in space. He forced 17 missed tackles last season and has been efficient in that category in all three years at Oxford, as he has forced double-digit missed tackles each season (10 in 2016, 23 in 2017).

Brown’s ability to take advantage of his matchups no matter the alignment is a valuable trait NFL teams look for. Of his 33 explosive plays (20-plus yards) this season, 19 came while aligned in the slot, but after an injury to Metcalf, Brown moved outside without his production suffering, as he still managed 21.2 yards per catch and 2.88 yards per route run.

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I have Hakeem Butler ahead of Brown in my projections for the Pats but this guy is a gifted receiver, too.
 
Oops. Deleted. Notes getting mixed up last year and this year when I dropped my files. Good catch that I should have caught but I was in a hurry.

Will. I know I have the copyright, but you have license to borrow nevermind anytime you wish.


Cheers
 
I'll start with a brief ranking of these WRs from a Patriots perspective.

Later on things may change as we hear about injuries, character concerns, interviews, smarts, etc. My ranking will not necessarily agree with the general rankings bc I'm drafting specifically for the Patriots. Minimum physical requirements will probably knock some of these out when Pro Days are finished. This isn't a finished list.

1. Hakeem Butler, Iowa State, 6'5", 227. 4.48 40, 3c NA, VJ 36".
He's a primary weapon no matter where he's lined up. He's as close to
Calvin Johnson as we've seen and he's being trained by Calvin Johnson.
Butler is best WR1 in this draft imo.

2. Miles Boykin, NDame, 6'4", 220. 4.42 40, 6.77 3 cone, VJ 43.5".
Boykin was the wonder of the combine & he has the talent and athleticism to be a great WR1 at flanker or X. Under rated on most rankings.

3. AJ Brown, Miss., 6', 226. 4.49 40, VJ 36.5".
Brown is a thick, durable, strong player known for his slot work but he can do just as much damage at
flanker or even outside. Brown may be the safest WR in this draft. WR1 at slot or flanker.

4. DK Metcalf, Miss, 6'3", 228. 4.33 40, 7.38 3c, 40.5 VJ.
Metcalf wins on go routes and jump balls and that's good enough for a lot of teams. He drops for the Pats bc
he is far from a complete WR even though he's a beast as a deep threat and in the RZ.

5. Deebo Samuel, S.Carolina, 5'11", 214. 4.48 40, 6.83 3c, VJ NA.
Samuel will kill opponents with a quick strike or 1000 paper cuts. ++ quicks and he's gone.
All 3 WR positions and RB. Name it and he'll win wherever he's put.

6. N'Keal Harry, Az St., 6'2", 228. 4.53 40, 3c NA, 38.5 VJ.Harry is a big, strong (27 BP) slot WR who may earn X duties bc of his
toughness and high pointing skill. Right now he's a big slot guy with a
potential for outside fades and RZ catches. WR2 upside.

7. Stanley Morgan, Jr., Nebraska, 6', 202. 4.53 40, 6.78 3c, VJ NA.
Morgan is a physical, quick and sure-handed flanker or slot guy who has ++ possession skill.
He reminds me a little of Malcolm Mitchell on the field with a little more physicality than MM.
I'm surprised to rank him this high but he's another one I could see as a Patriot. Slot or Flanker possession guy.

8. Parris Campbell, OSU, 6', 205. 4.31 40, 3c NA, 40" VJ.
Explosive, big play slot guy who is a threat on the field. He needs refinements in his game but his fundamentals are solid. He should develop quickly to be a star focal point if he wants to be.
Lots to work with here.

9. Kelvin Harmon, NC St., 6'2", 221. 4.6 40, 7.15 3c, 32.5" VJ.
Harmon's lack of athleticism will eventually drop him from Patriots' consideration. He's a physical possession guy from the flanker position who lacks speed for the X position. He'd benefit by being on a run first team with a surprise pass thrown in.




10. JJ Arcega-Whiteside, 6'2", 225. 4.49 40, NA 3c, 34" VJ, 9'10" BJ.
As a skilled box out specialist, JAW is a possession receiver and RZ specialist who has the ability to be more with work. He has good speed and runs good routes but he'll drop a few too many passes by catching with his palms. As I watch JAW I'm reminded of a power forward who backs into his defender to post him up to make the catch. He'll make the highlight reel 1 handed catch on fade routes. I've seen comparisons to Mike Evans and even to Larry Fitzgerald but JAW has lots of work to get to those heights. Some have him going in the 1st round but many more have him as a 2nd or 3rd round guy. I have him as a 3rd round pick for the Pats but his lack of ideal quickness may drop him off the Pats' board.


11. Jalen Hurd, Baylor, 6'5", 226. Knee scope prevented Combine and Pro Day Drills. 5 star recruit.

Hurd was a UTenn RB (1,285 yards on 4.6 ypc in 2015) who transferred to Baylor for a change to WR. As such he started from scratch learning a new position but did quite well in his 1 season as a WR/RB combination - 69 passes for 946 yards and four touchdowns. Hurd also rushed 48 times last year for 209 yards and three scores. That's versatility and BB likes that. IF his knee checks and IF BB is willing to wait a year, Hurd has outstanding physical traits, a great work ethic and the drive to get much better very quickly. Imo, his best days are in front of him. Big slot now and eventual X with WR1 upside. He's a day 3, 4th round value pick in my mind. Think Terrelle Pryor.


More to come
 
I'll start with a brief ranking of these WRs from a Patriots perspective.

Later on things may change as we hear about injuries, character concerns, interviews, smarts, etc. My ranking will not necessarily agree with the general rankings bc I'm drafting specifically for the Patriots. Minimum physical requirements will probably knock some of these out when Pro Days are finished. This isn't a finished list.



Outside WRs
1. Hakeem Butler, Iowa State, 6'5", 227. 4.48 40, 3c NA, VJ 36".
He's a primary weapon no matter where he's lined up. He's as close to
Calvin Johnson as we've seen and he's being trained by Calvin Johnson.
Butler is best WR1 in this draft imo.

2. Miles Boykin, NDame, 6'4", 220. 4.42 40, 6.77 3 cone, VJ 43.5".
Boykin was the wonder of the combine & he has the talent and athleticism to be a great WR1 at flanker or X. Under rated on most rankings.

3. AJ Brown, Miss., 6', 226. 4.49 40, VJ 36.5".
Brown is a thick, durable, strong player known for his slot work but he can do just as much damage at
flanker or even outside. Brown may be the safest WR in this draft. WR1 at slot or flanker.

4. DK Metcalf, Miss, 6'3", 228. 4.33 40, 7.38 3c, 40.5 VJ.
Metcalf wins on go routes and jump balls and that's good enough for a lot of teams. He drops for the Pats bc
he is far from a complete WR even though he's a beast as a deep threat and in the RZ.

5. Deebo Samuel, S.Carolina, 5'11", 214. 4.48 40, 6.83 3c, VJ NA.
Samuel will kill opponents with a quick strike or 1000 paper cuts. ++ quicks and he's gone.
All 3 WR positions and RB. Name it and he'll win wherever he's put.

6. N'Keal Harry, Az St., 6'2", 228. 4.53 40, 3c NA, 38.5 VJ.Harry is a big, strong (27 BP) slot WR who may earn X duties bc of his
toughness and high pointing skill. Right now he's a big slot guy with a
potential for outside fades and RZ catches. WR2 upside.

7. Stanley Morgan, Jr., Nebraska, 6', 202. 4.53 40, 6.78 3c, VJ NA.
Morgan is a physical, quick and sure-handed flanker or slot guy who has ++ possession skill.
He reminds me a little of Malcolm Mitchell on the field with a little more physicality than MM.
I'm surprised to rank him this high but he's another one I could see as a Patriot. Slot or Flanker possession guy.

8. Parris Campbell, OSU, 6', 205. 4.31 40, 3c NA, 40" VJ.
Explosive, big play slot guy who is a threat on the field. He needs refinements in his game but his
fundamentals are solid. He should develop quickly to be a star focal point if he wants to be.
Lots to work with here.

9. Kelvin Harmon, NC St., 6'2", 221. 4.6 40, 7.15 3c, 32.5" VJ.
Harmon's lack of athleticism will eventually drop him from Patriots' consideration. He's a physical possession guy from the flanker position who lacks speed for the X position. He'd benefit by being on a run first team with a surprise pass thrown in.
10. JJ Arcega-Whiteside, 6'2", 225. 4.49 40, NA 3c, 34" VJ, 9'10" BJ.
As a skilled box out specialist, JAW is a possession receiver and RZ specialist who has the ability to be more with work. He has good speed and runs good routes but he'll drop a few too many passes by catching with his palms. As I watch JAW I'm reminded of a power forward who backs into his defender to post him up to make the catch. He'll make the highlight reel 1 handed catch on fade routes. I've seen comparisons to Mike Evans and even to Larry Fitzgerald but JAW has lots of work to get to those heights. Some have him going in the 1st round but many more have him as a 2nd or 3rd round guy. I have him as a 3rd round pick for the Pats but his lack of ideal quickness may drop him off the Pats' board.


11. Jalen Hurd, Baylor, 6'5", 226. Knee scope prevented Combine and Pro Day Drills. 5 star recruit. Very good athlete on tape.

Hurd was a UTenn RB (1,285 yards on 4.6 ypc in 2015) who transferred to Baylor for a change to WR. As such he started from scratch learning a new position but did quite well in his 1 season as a WR/RB combination - 69 passes for 946 yards and four touchdowns. Hurd also rushed 48 times last year for 209 yards and three scores. That's versatility and BB likes that. IF his knee checks and IF BB is willing to wait a year, Hurd has outstanding physical traits, I've heard a great work ethic and the drive to get much better very quickly. Imo, his best days are in front of him. Big slot now and eventual X with WR1 upside. He's a 4th round value pick in my mind. Think Terrelle Pryor with RB skills.


12. Riley Ridley, GA, 6'2", 200. 4.58 40, 7.22 3c, 4.28 ss, 30.5" VJ, 124" BJ.
Riley doesn't have Calvin's speed or explosion but he's a tough, physical possession guy who has had good training in the WR position. He runs good routes but often rounds his breaks which allows the CB to undercut him for the int. Everything about him is pretty average but his understanding of the position gives him a high floor but with all that training, he's still average and that drops his ceiling. He's not fast enough to play X & he's not quick enough to play slot, therefore he's a flanker. I doubt he's on BB's board but you never know.


Slot WRs Board.

1. Butler, 2. Brown, 3. Samuel, 4. Harry, 5. Morgan, 6. Campbell in that order from above for my Slot WR rankings.

In addition...

Slot &/or STs Return Guys

7. Hunter Renfrow, Clemson, 5'10", 184. 4.59 40, 6.8 3c, 35 VJ.
Renfrow is a refined slot route runner with great production and good hands. He's quick and his long speed is good enough. His experience in the slot earns him a high draft pick, probably out of BB's reach but if he falls he'd be a good pick imo.

8. Andy Isabella, UMass, 5'9", 188. 4.31 40, 6.95 3c, 36.5 VJ.
Super fast and quick enough, Isabella is much loved here on the Planet. He's a player but he'll have to move from outside to slot which is a concern for me. Like Renfrow, he'll likely be picked before he comes up on BB's board.

9. Marquise Brown, OK, 5'9", 166, LisFranc fracture derailed his Combine and ProDay.
Another with blazing speed & super productive with BMayfield and KMurray as his QBs but he's small and comes with injury concerns. Some team will take a chance on him fairly high in the 1st rnd but for most he'll fall bc of his size & injury. If he turns into a Santonio Holmes kind of player, the team that drafts him high will be happy. The Giants, Steelers and Chiefs have been linked to Hollywood Brown.



Comparisons and sleeper picks in the next few days.
 
I know Butler played a lot out of the slot at Iowa St., but 6’5” is a MAJOR deviation from what Bill has ever done. Until I see a glimpse of that he’s an X or Z in Pats gear.

In about 50+ mocks from scores of rankings Renfrow is available in the 3rd 99% of the time and more often than not in the 4th.

Isabella can play any role. Just like DA and Jules. If Steve Smith were available we wouldn’t pencil him as slot only because he doesn’t have prototypical height. Production in college is a great translator to the pros, and vice versa. If you don’t have it in college, despite any athletic acumen, I tend to doubt you’ll find it in the pros. Isabella produced both inside and outside.
 
From Evan Silva, NFL analyst/writer for Rotoworld & NBC Sports.
You gotta believe!

D4AYNlbXkAA093u.png:large


Would BB actually pull the trigger on a WR in the 1st round? I doubt it but IBIT anyway.
 
I know Butler played a lot out of the slot at Iowa St., but 6’5” is a MAJOR deviation from what Bill has ever done. Until I see a glimpse of that he’s an X or Z in Pats gear.

In about 50+ mocks from scores of rankings Renfrow is available in the 3rd 99% of the time and more often than not in the 4th.

Isabella can play any role. Just like DA and Jules. If Steve Smith were available we wouldn’t pencil him as slot only because he doesn’t have prototypical height. Production in college is a great translator to the pros, and vice versa. If you don’t have it in college, despite any athletic acumen, I tend to doubt you’ll find it in the pros. Isabella produced both inside and outside.


Agree completely. Although I don't think BB would use him often, if at all, in the slot unless it's as a blocker.

Which is why Renfrow ranks 7th for me as a slot guy. In the 4th, Renfrow would be a terrific bargain.

My comparison for Isabella is a cross between WW & DA, 2 receivers BB brought to the Pats. It's likely he's on their draft board bc BB knows Isabella could be productive. How high though?
 
From Evan Silva, NFL analyst/writer for Rotoworld & NBC Sports.
You gotta believe!

D4AYNlbXkAA093u.png:large


Would BB actually pull the trigger on a WR in the 1st round? I doubt it but IBIT anyway.


Below is the Pats current depth chart (Our Lads) for a little positional perspective. It's not all gloom and doom. That's a solid core of players.

Add through free agency or the draft:

a starting WR (or 2),

a couple of developmental DLs,

a swing tackle,

a developmental FS and

a developmental G (Thuney's contract is up after this year)

and the Pats are set.


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Isabella can play any role. Just like DA and Jules. If Steve Smith were available we wouldn’t pencil him as slot only because he doesn’t have prototypical height. Production in college is a great translator to the pros, and vice versa. If you don’t have it in college, despite any athletic acumen, I tend to doubt you’ll find it in the pros. Isabella produced both inside and outside.

PFF likes him in the 1st rnd. Tyreek Hill comparisons.
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