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Data-driven decision-making is science and art.
This 2024 WR class is deep with talent and that talent covers a broad spectrum of specific roles for teams with a few players who can do everything well. The 2014 class of WRs is the best in my memory - Mike Evans, Odell Beckham, Brandin Cooks, Davante Adams, and Jarvis Landry is an excellent start then add in Sammy Watkins, Allen Robinson, Kelvin Benjamin, John Brown, Martavis Bryant, and Paul Richardson that round out how talented this class was. That's a dozen players with legitimate game for at least 2 seasons. Considering the average player’s career is three years, 2 seasons of strong productivity by 12 players is impressive.
Is this class great? An emphatic yes. It has a chance to be remembered as 1 of the best ever. Last year the NFL drafted 32 WRs. In '22, 28 WRs were drafted and in '21, 34 were drafted. I have given 48 WRs in this class a draftable grade and I've never given more than 32 WRs a draftable grade in any one year. I've averaged 27 draftable WRs each year for 10 years. Yes, this class has exceptional potential. Like always, success depends on health, situation and fit for each individual prospect. This class has 17 players with immediate starter grades and another 8 with significant promise to become starters quickly. And not many of them have boom-bust potential. There's really not a Harry among them although 1 comes close.
WRs who can separate? 50% of the players in this class have the speed or route running skill to separate. No worries.
Let's get into it.
I'll list them in the order I have them ranked by category & then I'll get into individual player notes in the coming days.
SMALL SLOT: * indicates a versatile player who can play other WR positions and isn't limited to the Slot role. I want all of these first 9 guys listed.
Some of the players placed at the top of this fit-based section are ahead of higher-ranked players in the overall rankings. That’s because a narrower range of skills are considered here
1. Malik Nabers, LSU*: The best receiver on my board capable of playing all three positions due to his athletic ability, route running, reliable hands, positioning and toughness at the catch point, and open-field work. The best route runner I've seen since Keenan Allen.
2. Xavier Worthy, Texas*: Likely a split end due to his speed and catch-point positioning and toughness but he could get bumped inside enough to wreak havoc on opposing defenses. He's small but this kid has the smarts, speed and toughness to succeed. I'm talking Steve Smith tough. Love this kid.
3. Ricky Pearsall, Florida*: He’ll likely play outside immediately but he could thrive inside and will likely earn looks there in situational packages. An under-rated WR. A semi-sleeper I'd love for the Pats
4. Jermaine Burton, Alabama*: A route technician who can play all three positions and is best considered a flanker or flanker-slot combo. Reliable and smart. Excellent use of hands against defenders. Another great route runner in the same vein as Malik Nabers and MHJ.
5. Ladd McConkey, Georgia: McConkey might be the first true slot on this board. He can produce as a flanker, but with his size, quickness, and skill over the middle, it could be a waste of resources to use him anywhere else than the slot. A smart runner in traffic and capable of big plays in the vertical game and after the catch.
6. Ainias Smith, Texas A&M: Although the physical dimensions differ, Smith’s play reminds me of Derrick Mason - ultra-reliable, more dynamic than characterized, tough, and versatile. He could be a flanker, but probably best for the slot and the backfield. One of the best open-field runners in the receiver class. Elusive with great vision after the catch. A DUI with unlawful gun possession will drop him on many boards but that was 2 1/2 years ago and no trouble since. This is the best WR you've never heard of until now.
7. Malik Washington, Virginia: A powerful and efficient runner in space and behind blockers, Washington can win the ball over defenders and has enough speed to pose mismatches from the slot. Smart and reliable.
8. Luke McCaffrey, Rice*: A budding technician in the route game who has well-developed skills with the ball in his hands and skills at the catch point. Explosive enough that he’ll be considered for a perimeter role.
9. Jalen McMillan, Washington: McMillan does his best work from the slot but could be cast as a flanker. He has excellent footwork with his routes and good hands.
10. Xavier Weaver Colorado*: He has been a perimeter deep threat, but his explosion is just a notch below what teams may project for X receivers in the NFL. He could make a good slot option because he’s a reliable receiver with big-play ability and enough route skills to transition inside.
11. Roman Wilson, Michigan: Athletic enough to get opportunities to develop as an outside receiver but kicking him inside could ease the burden of having to become great at releases and nuanced route running.
12. Tahj Washington, USC: A good zone player with big-play ability who must develop more nuance as a route runner to earn primary usage in the slot and not as a fourth or fifth option.
13. Jacob Cowing, Arizona: Ditto above.
14. Lideatrick “Tulu” Griffin, Mississippi State: He has potential to become a big-play slot option. He’s a good
pass-tracker and understands how to earn the optimal position against coverage on throws above his head.
15. Anthony Gould, Oregon State*: Explosive vertical threat and runner on plays designed to get him behind blocks
or into space early on, Gould must develop a better man-to-man game.
16. Jeremiah Hixon, New Mexico St.*: A quick-twitch and bendable athlete at the catch point and in the open field.
17. Isaiah Williams, Illinois: Excellent short-area quickness and ball skills who can produce in shallow zones.
18. Tayvion Robinson, Kentucky: A former running back who is developing as a route runner but still has a ways to
go.
Big Slot coming tomorrow am. I'll get into individual prospects after I've completed my positional lists.
Is this class great? An emphatic yes. It has a chance to be remembered as 1 of the best ever. Last year the NFL drafted 32 WRs. In '22, 28 WRs were drafted and in '21, 34 were drafted. I have given 48 WRs in this class a draftable grade and I've never given more than 32 WRs a draftable grade in any one year. I've averaged 27 draftable WRs each year for 10 years. Yes, this class has exceptional potential. Like always, success depends on health, situation and fit for each individual prospect. This class has 17 players with immediate starter grades and another 8 with significant promise to become starters quickly. And not many of them have boom-bust potential. There's really not a Harry among them although 1 comes close.
WRs who can separate? 50% of the players in this class have the speed or route running skill to separate. No worries.
Let's get into it.
I'll list them in the order I have them ranked by category & then I'll get into individual player notes in the coming days.
SMALL SLOT: * indicates a versatile player who can play other WR positions and isn't limited to the Slot role. I want all of these first 9 guys listed.
Some of the players placed at the top of this fit-based section are ahead of higher-ranked players in the overall rankings. That’s because a narrower range of skills are considered here
1. Malik Nabers, LSU*: The best receiver on my board capable of playing all three positions due to his athletic ability, route running, reliable hands, positioning and toughness at the catch point, and open-field work. The best route runner I've seen since Keenan Allen.
2. Xavier Worthy, Texas*: Likely a split end due to his speed and catch-point positioning and toughness but he could get bumped inside enough to wreak havoc on opposing defenses. He's small but this kid has the smarts, speed and toughness to succeed. I'm talking Steve Smith tough. Love this kid.
3. Ricky Pearsall, Florida*: He’ll likely play outside immediately but he could thrive inside and will likely earn looks there in situational packages. An under-rated WR. A semi-sleeper I'd love for the Pats
4. Jermaine Burton, Alabama*: A route technician who can play all three positions and is best considered a flanker or flanker-slot combo. Reliable and smart. Excellent use of hands against defenders. Another great route runner in the same vein as Malik Nabers and MHJ.
5. Ladd McConkey, Georgia: McConkey might be the first true slot on this board. He can produce as a flanker, but with his size, quickness, and skill over the middle, it could be a waste of resources to use him anywhere else than the slot. A smart runner in traffic and capable of big plays in the vertical game and after the catch.
6. Ainias Smith, Texas A&M: Although the physical dimensions differ, Smith’s play reminds me of Derrick Mason - ultra-reliable, more dynamic than characterized, tough, and versatile. He could be a flanker, but probably best for the slot and the backfield. One of the best open-field runners in the receiver class. Elusive with great vision after the catch. A DUI with unlawful gun possession will drop him on many boards but that was 2 1/2 years ago and no trouble since. This is the best WR you've never heard of until now.
7. Malik Washington, Virginia: A powerful and efficient runner in space and behind blockers, Washington can win the ball over defenders and has enough speed to pose mismatches from the slot. Smart and reliable.
8. Luke McCaffrey, Rice*: A budding technician in the route game who has well-developed skills with the ball in his hands and skills at the catch point. Explosive enough that he’ll be considered for a perimeter role.
9. Jalen McMillan, Washington: McMillan does his best work from the slot but could be cast as a flanker. He has excellent footwork with his routes and good hands.
10. Xavier Weaver Colorado*: He has been a perimeter deep threat, but his explosion is just a notch below what teams may project for X receivers in the NFL. He could make a good slot option because he’s a reliable receiver with big-play ability and enough route skills to transition inside.
11. Roman Wilson, Michigan: Athletic enough to get opportunities to develop as an outside receiver but kicking him inside could ease the burden of having to become great at releases and nuanced route running.
12. Tahj Washington, USC: A good zone player with big-play ability who must develop more nuance as a route runner to earn primary usage in the slot and not as a fourth or fifth option.
13. Jacob Cowing, Arizona: Ditto above.
14. Lideatrick “Tulu” Griffin, Mississippi State: He has potential to become a big-play slot option. He’s a good
pass-tracker and understands how to earn the optimal position against coverage on throws above his head.
15. Anthony Gould, Oregon State*: Explosive vertical threat and runner on plays designed to get him behind blocks
or into space early on, Gould must develop a better man-to-man game.
16. Jeremiah Hixon, New Mexico St.*: A quick-twitch and bendable athlete at the catch point and in the open field.
17. Isaiah Williams, Illinois: Excellent short-area quickness and ball skills who can produce in shallow zones.
18. Tayvion Robinson, Kentucky: A former running back who is developing as a route runner but still has a ways to
go.
Big Slot coming tomorrow am. I'll get into individual prospects after I've completed my positional lists.
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