WEEK 13 • SUN 12/06 • 4:25 PM EST - New England Patriots AT Los Angeles Chargers

The New England Patriots will attempt to get back to .500 this week when they begin a two-game stint in Los Angeles and a three-game road trip overall. After facing the Chargers on Sunday, the Patriots will stay on the West Coast to prepare for a Thursday Night Football game against the Rams. The Patriots will then play their final regular season road game at Miami in Week 15 before returning home for the final two weeks of the season.

SCOUTING THE MATCHUPS​

By Paul Perillo
When the Patriots run - Edge: Patriots
After several weeks of solid production on the ground the Patriots have been held in check by suspect defenses the last two weeks. Damien Harris remains the lead dog but for the second straight game he failed to reach the 50-yard mark, this time against a banged up Arizona front. Teams are stacking the box and forcing the Patriots to adjust, and other than a few occasional quick hitters toward the edges they have not been able to do so consistently over the last two weeks. Harris & Co. will get another chance to test a weak run defense in Los Angeles as the Chargers allow more than 120 yards per game and 4.8 yards per carry, the latter number ranking 30th in the league. The Chargers have veteran run stuffer Linval Joseph up front next to Justin Jones and Jerry Tillery in front of linebackers Denzel Perryman, Kenneth Murray and Uchenna Nwosu. That group has been banged up at times (Nwosu missed Sunday's game against the Bills) and struggles to keep good rushing attacks in check. They'll likely get a lot of work on Sunday against Harris, and perhaps Sony Michel, who did not get any carries in his first game back off IR. That duo will be operating behind an offensive line that will be without Isaiah Wynn for the second straight game as Jermaine Eluemunor and Justin Herron will continue to take his place.

When the Patriots pass - Edge: Chargers
Cam Newton is struggling to find any consistency in the passing game, and he's coming off one of the worst games of his career. He's been having trouble finding open receivers and dealing with the pass rush. With Julian Edelman out of the lineup, Newton has relied solely on Damiere Byrd and Jakobi Meyers, and that tandem struggled to create separation against the Cardinals. The Chargers secondary has performed well this season, ranking 10th in the league allowing 222.5 yards per game. Corners Chris Harris and Casey Hayward are solid while safeties Nassir Adderley, RayShawn Jenkins and Jahleel Addae are a capable group as well. Hayward missed last week's game against the Bills and was replaced by Michael Davis. The Chargers have been without standout safety Derwin James all season due to a knee injury. The Chargers should be able to contain the Patriots limited passing attack, especially if Joey Bosa can generate some pressure up front. He leads the team with 7.5 sacks on the season and can be a disruptive force off the edge. Unless Newton can find his rhythm, the Patriots will struggled to move it through the air in LA.

When the Chargers run - Edge: Patriots
Los Angeles struggled to run the ball with Austin Ekeler injured for most of the season. He returned last week after sitting out seven games with a leg injury, but in his absence the Chargers couldn't get anything going on the ground. Joshua Kelly and Kalen Ballage tried to fill the void but neither averaged better than 3.7 yards per carry. The Chargers rank 13th in the league with an average of 117 yards per game, but 29th with a 3.8-yards per carry average. Ekeler is a dual-threat runner and should give the Chargers more balance, but the Patriots have been tougher against the run as of late. The Cardinals game marked the fourth straight week the run defense was stout as Lawrence Guy, Adam Butler and Ja'Whaun Bentley have improved over that stretch. The Chargers will likely give Ekeler some opportunities but the Patriots have contained better rushing attacks than this in recent weeks, and that should continue in LA.

When the Chargers pass - Edge: Chargers
Rookie Justin Herbert has been outstanding since replacing the injured Tyrod Taylor in Week 2. He's tossed 23 touchdowns against only seven picks while completing better than 66 percent of his passes. He's also passed for more than 3,000 yards and is the main reason the Chargers currently own the second-best passing attack in football. His main target is the underrated Keenan Allen, who leads the team with 85 catches for 875 yards and seven touchdowns. Allen isn't the flashiest receiver but his possession game between the numbers may be the best in the league. He'll require some extra attention from a Patriots secondary that has been rather uneven all season. Stephon Gilmore was solid against DeAndre Hopkins last week, but that was largely due to the pressure created up front that made Kyler Murray uncomfortable throughout. Herbert has seen his share of pressure as well, and he's also been forced to throw the ball into some tight windows. Mike Williams and tight end Hunter Henry also receive plenty of targets while Ekeler is a solid threat out of the backfield as well. The Chargers have moved the ball and put points on the board in most of their games this season, and the Patriots secondary will be tested in this one.

Special Teams - Edge: Patriots
Nick Folk continues to be a godsend for the Patriots. He connected on his second game-winner of the season, this one a 50-yarder as time expired to beat the Cardinals. He has now hit 19 straight field goals on the season. Where would the Patriots offense be without that production? He was not alone against Arizona, however. Donte' Moncrief (53-yard kickoff return) and Gunner Olszewski (58-yard punt return) turned in huge plays that led to points in a game where offense was tough to come by for New England. The Chargers have been solid in the kicking game as well with Michael Badgley. Badgley hasn't been quite as good as Folk but has missed just three of 29 PATs and five of 22 field goals, with the shortest miss coming from 47 yards so he's been almost automatic on routine kicks. K.J. Hill and Joe Reed have handled both kicks and punts for the Chargers this season and each has had some success. Hill has a 30-yard punt return to his credit while Reed took a kick back 46 yards earlier in the season. The Chargers coverage units have been a little leaky at times, however, and the Patriots momentum on special teams earns the visitors the edge.

BROADCAST INFORMATION​

TELEVISION: This week's game will be broadcast by CBS and can be seen locally on WBZ-TV Channel 4. Kevin Harlan will handle play-by-play duties with Trent Green as the color analyst. Melanie Collins will work from the sidelines. The game will be produced by Ken Mack and directed by Suzanne Smith.
SATELLITE RADIO:
Coming soon!
LOCAL RADIO: 98.5 The Sports Hub is the flagship station for the Patriots Radio Network. A complete listing of the network's 38 stations can be found here. Play-by-play broadcaster Bob Socci will call the action along with former Patriots quarterback Scott Zolak, who will provide color analysis. The games are produced by Marc Cappello.
 
Yes. Ravens and Raiders. But both would have to get to 11 wins to overtake us if we win out as we have the tiebreak over both.
Ravens still have to play the Browns in Clev. I believe.
 

I think it all hinges on Thursday. If Pats come out guns blazing then we'll know something clicked, and they're hitting their stride. Because that would mean three games in a row coming out and playing well. So far both wins have been impressive, but for different reasons. A third win against a quality opponent would convince me that they're for real. After that the biggest test would probably be Dolphins in Miami.
 
This was the worst game we have seen from quarterback Justin Herbert in the NFL, which was reasonably predictable if you watched how he struggled against New England South — the Miami Dolphins — just a few weeks ago.

The Dolphins gave us a trial run of what a Bill Belichick scheme would do to Herbert, and it probably did an even better job than expected. Herbert passed for 209 yards, but two bad interceptions left him with a passer rating in the 40s. He averaged just 4.1 yards per attempt in what will likely be the lowest PFF grade of his season once the data is finalized, and it will certainly be the lowest mark since the Miami game.

Michael Onwenu has been a stud for the Patriots this season, but this won’t be one of his best games. He played all game, mostly at right tackle, though he did have to spend 10 snaps at right guard. Fellow rookie offensive lineman Justin Herron played 25 snaps up front, and tight end Dalton Keene was on the field for 21 plays.

On defense, the Patriots had five different rookies play double-digit snaps, with Kyle Dugger getting the most playing time, as expected. Dugger had a good game and was active all over the field. Anfernee Jennings continued to get extensive snaps at linebacker, but we also saw a lot more of Josh Uche than we have been used to. Uche played 29 snaps, the most of his career so far, and he made an impact. He produced a big hit on Herbert on a play that featured a breakdown in the assignments for the Chargers up front, and he added an additional two total pressures on top of that. Uche also had a few pass-rush wins that didn’t become pressure in what was a very encouraging performance.
 
This was the worst game we have seen from quarterback Justin Herbert in the NFL, which was reasonably predictable if you watched how he struggled against New England South — the Miami Dolphins — just a few weeks ago.

The Dolphins gave us a trial run of what a Bill Belichick scheme would do to Herbert, and it probably did an even better job than expected. Herbert passed for 209 yards, but two bad interceptions left him with a passer rating in the 40s. He averaged just 4.1 yards per attempt in what will likely be the lowest PFF grade of his season once the data is finalized, and it will certainly be the lowest mark since the Miami game.

Michael Onwenu has been a stud for the Patriots this season, but this won’t be one of his best games. He played all game, mostly at right tackle, though he did have to spend 10 snaps at right guard. Fellow rookie offensive lineman Justin Herron played 25 snaps up front, and tight end Dalton Keene was on the field for 21 plays.

On defense, the Patriots had five different rookies play double-digit snaps, with Kyle Dugger getting the most playing time, as expected. Dugger had a good game and was active all over the field. Anfernee Jennings continued to get extensive snaps at linebacker, but we also saw a lot more of Josh Uche than we have been used to. Uche played 29 snaps, the most of his career so far, and he made an impact. He produced a big hit on Herbert on a play that featured a breakdown in the assignments for the Chargers up front, and he added an additional two total pressures on top of that. Uche also had a few pass-rush wins that didn’t become pressure in what was a very encouraging performance.
Herbert is still very good, but, BB. :coffee:
 
I really didn’t think it was still possible to win like this in today’s NFL. I felt like I was watching a high school game.
 
Look at us, hoping to squeak into the playoffs after a Week 13 win. Hoping for other teams to lose so we can get in.

Brings me back.....
 
Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers’ offense found out the hard way against the New England Patriots in their Week 13 blowout loss.

Flores, one of many Belichick disciples across the league, laid bare the shortcomings of a rookie quarterback with a heavy blitz package that left the young Herbert’s head spinning in Week 10. For the game, Herbert was 20-for-32 with 187 yards passing. But against the blitz, he was only 8-for-15 with 93 yards to go along with one sack. Herbert struggled specifically against the all-out Cover 0 blitz concepts that Flores ran six times, managing only one completion.

These are complicated looks, and given Flores’ relationship with Belichick and the similarity between the coaches’ respective defensive systems, we all thought Belichick would try the same ideas against Herbert. Wrong. The Chargers probably spent the whole week making sure Herbert was comfortable with all these concepts. Belichick spent the whole week doing other things.

The Patriots ended up playing one snap of Cover 0 blitz. In total, New England blitzed only five times on 56 Herbert dropbacks. Flores blitzed 16 times on 36 Herbert dropbacks. This subterfuge by Belichick ultimately stifled the Chargers’ offense and Herbert himself. The offense sputtered to -.31 expected points added per play, their worst mark of the season. Herbert’s 51.0 grade was also his lowest of the season, barely inferior to the 51.4 grade he registered against the Dolphins.

Instead of blitzing, Belichick allowed his defensive linemen to play games and stunt against a Chargers offensive line that was ready for the all-out blitz but could not handle simple stunts. The Patriots stunted their defensive linemen on 34 different pass plays, the most the Chargers have seen in any game this year.

 
This was a really fun game to watch and I agree with Hawg that a lot of young guys on defense are starting to show, but I don't know how far to take it yet, the Chargers are so... wierd.

They have a really good young QB, solid line, the top WR in terms of receptions, Joey fucking Bosa and we just smoked them.

But they gave away somewhere between 24 and 31 points. (punt ret, Blocked Kick, Dumb penalty on 3 & 19, Stupid Int - feel free to add). I just don't know if we are getting good or they were that bad.
 
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