We are desperately in need of SEVERAL Jones. They are disappearing rapidly
I understand your concerns, but I think that they have to fall back on the averages. We know that historically 1st round QBS fail about 50% of the time, however 2nd round QBs fail 70% of the time. After that it gets ridiculous with later rounds failure rates at 90-95%. 11 of the 14 staring QBs in last year playoffs were picked in the 1st round with that number being fairly consistent for the last 30 years. That number proves that despite the failure rate, the odds of finding a franchise QB are still overwhelming better in the first round and if you dig deeper increase with the higher picks in the 1st round. Given the importance othe the position to a teams success, all this tells me is that the pick should be a QB.
It won't take many spots to get another we 2nd round pick
Certainly agree with that. They might like JJ a lot
I mean, I've heard the Vikings have been in contact with the Cardinals for 4...so they can get McCarthy. They're really in love with him for some reason (Sorry, Dave).
I think they already have, or at least should by draft day pre-decide. There's only 3 different scenarios, they should know exactly if any of the 3 are their guy, outside of a ridiculous trade offer.
So do I. He's doing this now
www.nbcsports.com
I don't know how old you are, but the "it factor" has been used in coach speak long before so called media used it.
Oh I've heard the term used by the media plenty because it gets people to read and listen to their next batch of stories. I can't think of an instance of a coach or professional evaluateator using it to describe their evaluation process. Nevertheless that wasn't really my point. I'll put it this way, what has Jj Mccarthy done in the last two months to all of a sudden have an "it factor ", that's propelled him from the mid rounds to now some projecting him into the top 10? Or, in contrast, what did a guy like Maye do in the last few months to go from a consensus top 5, to possibly fall out the top 10 all together? If I have to spell it out for you, nothing, they did nothing. It's all media bullshit to keeping people reading and doing their little mock drafts.
It really is something, and I don’t think many understand that what Mel Kipper and the othe media heads do is not what real team scouts and evaluators do, or at least the good ones. It's pretty much stock watch, who's betting what stock goes up or down and they can force the narrative by how many stories they write not because they learned anything new about a prospect. They are selling an event and need to create stories to write, we can only hope that our GM is using sound evaluation tools to make the pick and not media noise. In the case of Maye, it reminds me alot of Justin Herbert, who went into the pre draft thought to be one of the top two prospects at QB and by the time draft day came he could apparently no longer read defenses, was not very mobile and would take years to develop if at all. Now I'm not going to pretend I know what Maye will be, but you have to be suspect of the drastic change in narrative.
