Hawg73
Mediocre with flashes of brilliance
- Joined
- Nov 26, 2002
- Messages
- 25,160
- Reaction score
- 11,519
- Points
- 113
- Age
- 68
- Location
- Gumdrop house on Lollipop Ln.
I've done one of these every year since the Planet opened and here is this year's edition. As always, I welcome others' opinions whether they like my thoughts or think I'm way off base.
It's a fun exercise and I've had a few hits on players over the years which is at least partial blind luck due to the enormous variables. My approach is that I try to think like the Pats do and hope they haven't adjusted their formula without at least sending me a memo informing me of the changes. I kid.
Anyhow, without further adieu here is my guess as to what we might do:
39. Jake Fisher – 6’6” 307, Oregon OL, SPARQ rating 94.2 (better athlete than 94 per cent of current pros)
I looked at other interior guys, but even though we haven’t had any contact with him, I believe he is exactly the type of player that fits our program and will be a good player in the NFL for a long time.
Some of my reasons for liking Fisher and thinking Belichick and Caserio might also feel that way include his solid character, his overall athleticism and ability to hit moving targets beyond the LOS, his positional flexibility (that is a cliche by now, but it is important for us), his toughness and experience at one of the top programs in the country. Fisher is advanced compared to a lot of these guys. By that I mean the way he plays his position and uses his feet to create angles. He knows what he's doing. He played OT on both sides of the line for the Ducks but the Pats have demonstrated with Logan Makins that they will use a high pick on a college OT and move him.
I have us trading with Chicago to drop back to 39, get Fisher and we get a 5th this year and spare change next. I think we will consider Ali Marpet as well, but in the end the jump from Div. III makes him too much of a projection for the price we’ll have to pay to get him
.
64. Henry Anderson – 6’6 294 Stanford DE, SPARQ rating 79%
While everybody is looking for the next Wilfork, I think run stuffing DLs can be acquired in other ways and players with all-around talent are the types you use your higher picks on. Anderson plays aggressively, but at the same time minds his gaps. We don’t draft people that free-lance. Anderson is relentless but always has a clue. He plays team D and tackles hard and well using his length and long arms to wrap guys up, but unlike most guys his size he has a knack for knowing when to “get skinny” and split a gap to blow up a play and close on the QB.
He shows an outstanding knack for penetration. I think he has a hard jolt with his hands, is plenty strong and uses his arms to control and shed blockers very well. He played at a high level of competition, can play 3-4 end or DT in the 4-3, played multiple techniques (as we require) was a team leader and shows excellent awareness on the field.
He's not an "edge rusher" exactly, but can definitely pressure the QB and his closing burst appears excellent. Mature and intelligent. I see him as somebody that checks a lot of boxes and is a perfect fit for the Pats. A guy that can earn snaps immediately in the DL rotation, help our inside pressure game and become the heir apparent to Nink and an insurance policy against Chandler Jones’ next annual injury. For a team that likes players that can do a lot of different things I haven't seen anything asked of a DL that Anderson can't do well.
I'm still seeing him mocked much lower than this, which I don't get. Why can't people see how good he will be? I don't know if he'll last to 64.
96. Chris Conley – 6’3” 215 Georgia WR, SPARQ 98.8
Nobody knows how his private workout with BB and Caserio went, but we don’t send the big boys to see many guys and Conley is a physical freak who appears to me to have great hands and seems highly intelligent with a team-first attitude. Can he learn our offense? Who knows?, but he could be the guy that Aaron Dobson was supposed to be. We looked at a lot of WRs this offseason and my guess is that he’s got all the upside tools at the right price to roll the dice on him and take a chance that he can be great.
97. Ben Heeney – 6’0 232 Kansas LB, SPARQ 77.8
One of the real interesting players I’ve seen this year. I like him for us because he covers a lot of ground and plays very well in space, which is the name of the game in today's NFL while showing the ability to get off blocks from big guys with a hard punch and quick moves.
Played well for 3 years in a program undergoing multiple coaching changes which Bill appreciates. He isn’t tall and isn't a huge hitter, but goes in aggressively and decisively, wraps up and gets guys on the ground anywhere on the field. I like the angles he takes. His awareness. I think he is a guy that is easily athletic enough to drop into coverage much like Jamie Collins.
Heeney is also a guy that can look bad on one play and in the next he looks like Jack Ham or Luke Keuchly to cite a more current example, but he is always very productive lining up in multiple looks. He should be great on STs, which we pay attention to. Guys like him are going to be the new LB prototype within a few years and the Pats might as well be ahead of the curve and draft horses for courses. He’s the anti-Brandon Spikes and a cheaper alternative to Shaq Thompson who he compares to in my view.
101. Mark Glowinski, 6’4” 307 OL WVU SPARQ 95.7
A double-dip to beef up the OL and Glowinski is another guy who played multiple positions in college and probably projects best inside in the NFL. Very strong for such a good athlete. Tons of pop. Good on the hoof, too.
131. Josh Shaw 6’ 201” CB USC SPARQ 92.3
A solid zone defender and co-captain who may slip due to bizarre off-field incident where he lied about an injury and tried to make himself into a hero to cover up a stupid move. That's why he might still be around at this point in the draft. He's built like a safety and could play there. No, he can’t replace Revis nor can any other corner in this draft. For the Pats this is a business-as-usual pick in trying to get value and upgrade the roster. You can't fix everything in one draft.
142. (from Chicago) James Rouse 6’5” 270 DL Marshall
Who? My sleeper. And a total wild guess. I don’t know why he isn’t being discussed more. Slim 4-3 DT with a great burst off the line and the knack to penetrate and tip passes and kicks. Relentless and a good interior rusher. Heat-seeking missle. Put some weight on him and he could be a player.
177. Josh Robinson, RB, Mississippi St.
Beats me. I'm just throwing darts at this point, but he is supposedly a fine receiver and perhaps he could be a hedge to James White looking like he did last preseason.
219. Kurtiss Drummond S Michigan State
Now I'm throwing lawn darts at a golf ball. I just figure we don't seem to need a safety and therefore we will take one.
253. Ryan Williams, QB Miami – Matt Cassell II – in an off-year for QBs the Pats take a flyer on a guy who missed 2014 with an injury, but has a huge frame and can sling it with some touch. Why? Because nobody thinks we’ll be interested in another QB and this is something we often do because no UDFA QB in his right mind is going to sign here unless he's delighted to sit on the bench for his entire career.
It's a fun exercise and I've had a few hits on players over the years which is at least partial blind luck due to the enormous variables. My approach is that I try to think like the Pats do and hope they haven't adjusted their formula without at least sending me a memo informing me of the changes. I kid.
Anyhow, without further adieu here is my guess as to what we might do:
39. Jake Fisher – 6’6” 307, Oregon OL, SPARQ rating 94.2 (better athlete than 94 per cent of current pros)
I looked at other interior guys, but even though we haven’t had any contact with him, I believe he is exactly the type of player that fits our program and will be a good player in the NFL for a long time.
Some of my reasons for liking Fisher and thinking Belichick and Caserio might also feel that way include his solid character, his overall athleticism and ability to hit moving targets beyond the LOS, his positional flexibility (that is a cliche by now, but it is important for us), his toughness and experience at one of the top programs in the country. Fisher is advanced compared to a lot of these guys. By that I mean the way he plays his position and uses his feet to create angles. He knows what he's doing. He played OT on both sides of the line for the Ducks but the Pats have demonstrated with Logan Makins that they will use a high pick on a college OT and move him.
I have us trading with Chicago to drop back to 39, get Fisher and we get a 5th this year and spare change next. I think we will consider Ali Marpet as well, but in the end the jump from Div. III makes him too much of a projection for the price we’ll have to pay to get him
.
64. Henry Anderson – 6’6 294 Stanford DE, SPARQ rating 79%
While everybody is looking for the next Wilfork, I think run stuffing DLs can be acquired in other ways and players with all-around talent are the types you use your higher picks on. Anderson plays aggressively, but at the same time minds his gaps. We don’t draft people that free-lance. Anderson is relentless but always has a clue. He plays team D and tackles hard and well using his length and long arms to wrap guys up, but unlike most guys his size he has a knack for knowing when to “get skinny” and split a gap to blow up a play and close on the QB.
He shows an outstanding knack for penetration. I think he has a hard jolt with his hands, is plenty strong and uses his arms to control and shed blockers very well. He played at a high level of competition, can play 3-4 end or DT in the 4-3, played multiple techniques (as we require) was a team leader and shows excellent awareness on the field.
He's not an "edge rusher" exactly, but can definitely pressure the QB and his closing burst appears excellent. Mature and intelligent. I see him as somebody that checks a lot of boxes and is a perfect fit for the Pats. A guy that can earn snaps immediately in the DL rotation, help our inside pressure game and become the heir apparent to Nink and an insurance policy against Chandler Jones’ next annual injury. For a team that likes players that can do a lot of different things I haven't seen anything asked of a DL that Anderson can't do well.
I'm still seeing him mocked much lower than this, which I don't get. Why can't people see how good he will be? I don't know if he'll last to 64.
96. Chris Conley – 6’3” 215 Georgia WR, SPARQ 98.8
Nobody knows how his private workout with BB and Caserio went, but we don’t send the big boys to see many guys and Conley is a physical freak who appears to me to have great hands and seems highly intelligent with a team-first attitude. Can he learn our offense? Who knows?, but he could be the guy that Aaron Dobson was supposed to be. We looked at a lot of WRs this offseason and my guess is that he’s got all the upside tools at the right price to roll the dice on him and take a chance that he can be great.
97. Ben Heeney – 6’0 232 Kansas LB, SPARQ 77.8
One of the real interesting players I’ve seen this year. I like him for us because he covers a lot of ground and plays very well in space, which is the name of the game in today's NFL while showing the ability to get off blocks from big guys with a hard punch and quick moves.
Played well for 3 years in a program undergoing multiple coaching changes which Bill appreciates. He isn’t tall and isn't a huge hitter, but goes in aggressively and decisively, wraps up and gets guys on the ground anywhere on the field. I like the angles he takes. His awareness. I think he is a guy that is easily athletic enough to drop into coverage much like Jamie Collins.
Heeney is also a guy that can look bad on one play and in the next he looks like Jack Ham or Luke Keuchly to cite a more current example, but he is always very productive lining up in multiple looks. He should be great on STs, which we pay attention to. Guys like him are going to be the new LB prototype within a few years and the Pats might as well be ahead of the curve and draft horses for courses. He’s the anti-Brandon Spikes and a cheaper alternative to Shaq Thompson who he compares to in my view.
101. Mark Glowinski, 6’4” 307 OL WVU SPARQ 95.7
A double-dip to beef up the OL and Glowinski is another guy who played multiple positions in college and probably projects best inside in the NFL. Very strong for such a good athlete. Tons of pop. Good on the hoof, too.
131. Josh Shaw 6’ 201” CB USC SPARQ 92.3
A solid zone defender and co-captain who may slip due to bizarre off-field incident where he lied about an injury and tried to make himself into a hero to cover up a stupid move. That's why he might still be around at this point in the draft. He's built like a safety and could play there. No, he can’t replace Revis nor can any other corner in this draft. For the Pats this is a business-as-usual pick in trying to get value and upgrade the roster. You can't fix everything in one draft.
142. (from Chicago) James Rouse 6’5” 270 DL Marshall
Who? My sleeper. And a total wild guess. I don’t know why he isn’t being discussed more. Slim 4-3 DT with a great burst off the line and the knack to penetrate and tip passes and kicks. Relentless and a good interior rusher. Heat-seeking missle. Put some weight on him and he could be a player.
177. Josh Robinson, RB, Mississippi St.
Beats me. I'm just throwing darts at this point, but he is supposedly a fine receiver and perhaps he could be a hedge to James White looking like he did last preseason.
219. Kurtiss Drummond S Michigan State
Now I'm throwing lawn darts at a golf ball. I just figure we don't seem to need a safety and therefore we will take one.
253. Ryan Williams, QB Miami – Matt Cassell II – in an off-year for QBs the Pats take a flyer on a guy who missed 2014 with an injury, but has a huge frame and can sling it with some touch. Why? Because nobody thinks we’ll be interested in another QB and this is something we often do because no UDFA QB in his right mind is going to sign here unless he's delighted to sit on the bench for his entire career.
