“(Tom) Brady is probably throwing it as well as he’s ever thrown it,” Baldinger told the Herald in a phone interview Friday. “But they’ve eliminated a lot of the low-percentage type throws, those 40-yard streaks down the sidelines. So it’s really (playing) to Tom’s strength right now, just point and shoot and get the ball out of his hands quickly. Since the Cleveland game, that offense has been awfully sharp. It’s a good-looking offense right now.”
It’s Baldinger’s belief that teams that employ a passing attack more reliant on short and intermediate routes than the deep ball have greater success against the Jets defense, which blitzes a lot and goes all out to pressure the quarterback. With Moss running his standard fly patterns against Gang Green, Brady rarely had the time to get him the ball, essentially eliminating one of his options.
“I think (the Jets) have much better luck against guys like Terrell Owens and Chad Ochocinco and Andre Johnson than they do against Wes Welker and Deion Branch and Danny Woodhead,” Baldinger said. “I think those matchups are much tougher. If you look, they’ve already benched their safety Brodney Pool, and started Eric Smith (against Cincinnati) because they haven’t covered tight ends well. The middle of the field has been a problem.”
It was a problem in the first half of the Week 2 meeting between the AFC East archrivals. The Jets couldn’t cover Hernandez (six catches, 101 yards) or Welker (six catches, 38 yards) between the hash marks. When there was a shift in coverage in the second half, Brady was forced to go away from those two targets. Instead, he looked to Moss, who had single coverage. But though Brady targeted Moss six times, he ended up with more interceptions (two) in the half than completions to Moss (zero).
Baldinger also believes Jets castoff Woodhead will cause his former team fits in their prime-time showdown. The Pats picked up Woodhead the day before their Week 2 meeting after he’d been waived by the Jets. He was inactive for that game, but has played in every one since.
“There’s no question Danny Woodhead is going to be featured in this game,” Baldinger said. “It’s going to be one more way to stick it to the Jets. I can just see Woodhead in (Belichick’s) office right now, and them designing some plays for him, things they’re going to do with him, to hurt the Jets. I can just see it. He’s a problem. He’s a problem for everybody.”
Baldinger agrees with those critics who say the Jets defense hasn’t performed anywhere near the level it did last year, when it was a dominant force, the signature of their run to the AFC Championship Game. That should also play into the hands of the Patriots.
“They don’t look like an intimidating defense to me. And they were all of that this year,” Baldinger said of the Jets. “They’re just not pressuring the quarterback. If you give Tom time, the way he’s playing right now, I don’t care who’s covering, he’s going find the open guy, or at least, the guy that’s open enough to throw it to.”
All that said, while the Jets were 28-14 winners in Round 1 at New Meadowlands Stadium on Sept. 19. Baldinger is leaning toward the Pats this time.
http://espn.go.com/blog/boston/new-...4688503/quick-hit-thoughts-around-nfl-pats-35