The Titans are 3-10 with a notable victory over the Saints in NOrleans.
But:
Trust: Tom Brady (historically New England has pounded the ball in games where they are favored to this degree, but his floor and the matchup are worth salivating over and bucking that trend), Rob Gronkowski (in a position littered with low floors, he showed why you always roll him out, even when it takes a step of faith), Danny Amendola (after Gronk, he’s next in line and we like this offense overall)
Bust: Marcus Mariota (this can go two ways, one where he stacks late production or the game just gets buried like it was for him last week and we can’t count on another 10 points from the receiving game, but I generally don’t like pursuing quarterbacks that can face this much of a negative game script on paper), Titans running backs (there may be a case to be made for Dexter McCluster given the usage of Darren Sproles and Jonathan Grimes the past two weeks, but you’re taking a deep swing for not much of a ceiling here)
Reasonable Return: Delanie Walker (even in a rougher paper play, he’s still the only steady pass catcher here in a game that should feature plenty of attempts), Brandon LaFell (he’s been brutal, but the implied point total weakness for Tennessee means there could be a piece for just about anyone), Brandon Bolden (potential script points to this being a game where a back grinds work late and that would seem to point to Bolden who has worked ahead of White except for most no huddle situations), James White (has had two, four, five and six touches outside of his 12 touch game when game script was extremely negative, but more opportunity is open to keep him as a flex option)
http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/58857/478/the-worksheet-week-15?pg=2
Our offense should be able to build on the good performance in the Texans game. 14 points is a big spread but the Pats should be able to cover.
But:
- The Titans allow a touchdown once every 14.4 pass attempts, the second worst behind only New Orleans (12.4).
- Brady averaged 17.5 points per game in the eight games that New England has been favored by 14 or more points since the 2008 season.
- Rob Gronkowski returned to play 62.3 percent of the snaps last week. He had played on 83.7 percent of snaps prior to injury.
- Brandon Bolden played 49 snaps last week to 25 for James White.
- Over the past four weeks, White has seven red zone touches to three each for LeGarrette Blount and Brandon Bolden.
- White has converted four of those touches for touchdowns while neither Blount nor Bolden has scored.
- Despite scoring on just 4.0 percent of his targets, Delanie Walker is still sixth in points per target (1.87 points) of all tight ends with 50 or more targets on the season.
- Walker averages 85.0 receiving yards per game over the past six weeks, the most of all tight ends.
- Since allowing 84 yards to Heath Miller in Week 1, the Patriots have allowed just one tight end (Will Tye, 56 yards) to reach 50 receiving yards in a game.
- After averaging 14.9 points with one top-12 scoring week through his first five games, Marcus Mariota has averaged 22.8 points with four top-12 scoring weeks over his past six games played.
Trust: Tom Brady (historically New England has pounded the ball in games where they are favored to this degree, but his floor and the matchup are worth salivating over and bucking that trend), Rob Gronkowski (in a position littered with low floors, he showed why you always roll him out, even when it takes a step of faith), Danny Amendola (after Gronk, he’s next in line and we like this offense overall)
Bust: Marcus Mariota (this can go two ways, one where he stacks late production or the game just gets buried like it was for him last week and we can’t count on another 10 points from the receiving game, but I generally don’t like pursuing quarterbacks that can face this much of a negative game script on paper), Titans running backs (there may be a case to be made for Dexter McCluster given the usage of Darren Sproles and Jonathan Grimes the past two weeks, but you’re taking a deep swing for not much of a ceiling here)
Reasonable Return: Delanie Walker (even in a rougher paper play, he’s still the only steady pass catcher here in a game that should feature plenty of attempts), Brandon LaFell (he’s been brutal, but the implied point total weakness for Tennessee means there could be a piece for just about anyone), Brandon Bolden (potential script points to this being a game where a back grinds work late and that would seem to point to Bolden who has worked ahead of White except for most no huddle situations), James White (has had two, four, five and six touches outside of his 12 touch game when game script was extremely negative, but more opportunity is open to keep him as a flex option)
http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/58857/478/the-worksheet-week-15?pg=2
Our offense should be able to build on the good performance in the Texans game. 14 points is a big spread but the Pats should be able to cover.
