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I'd rather Ballard at this point anyway.
you mean this guy?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IdrTzvSi9Gg
I'd rather Ballard at this point anyway.
That's certainly a much more flattering highlight for Ballard than this one:
<iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/fhzmmh5KNPc" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" width="560"></iframe>
Gotta love how it's speculated that he fell several rounds in the draft because of that.
Then again, go figure that he can elude NFL defensive players, but not a stationary camera tripod.
https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2012/11/16/3tfo-colts-patriots-week-11/3TFO: Colts @ Patriots, Week 11
Peter Damilatis | 2012/11/16
Indianapolis versus New England. The Midwest meets The Northeast. Tony Dungy against Bill Belichick. Marvin Harrison collides with Rodney Harrison. And of course, the two greatest quarterbacks of our generation…
Ok, maybe the Colts and Patriots rivalry no longer has the instant drama that NFL marketers salivate over. Now that Peyton Manning is in Denver, this annual matchup has gone from Game-of-the-Year theatrics to simply Game-of-the-Week giddiness. And that’s fine, because today’s NFL provides enough made-for-TV drama on its own (or did you miss the Chiefs and Steelers on Monday night?).
With the Colts surprising and Patriots thriving in a top-heavy AFC, this has become a possible wild card playoff preview. After quality wins over the Vikings and Packers and curious losses to the Jaguars and Jets, the Colts have settled into a groove. They’ve won their last four games as Andrew Luck has thrown his hat into the Rookie of the Year conversation. After some agonizing close losses to begin the season, the Patriots’ three-game winning streak has put them in their usual AFC East driver’s seat.
Will Luck’s hot hand renew this old rivalry? Or will Belichick and Tom Brady put the rookie in his place? Here are three matchups to focus on when these two teams meet on Sunday:
Andrew Luck and Reggie Wayne vs. Patriots Defensive Backs
As a rookie top draft pick replacing a Hall of Fame franchise quarterback that was still in his prime, Luck walked into a historically unprecedented tough spot. Nevertheless, he’s succeeded beyond anyone’s expectations and has some analysts already calling him a top-tier QB. I won’t go that far, as Luck’s 86.48 PFF QB Rating and 69.2 Accuracy Percentage rank 13th and 28th in the league, respectively. But the rookie is playing beyond his years and has rejuvenated the career of another possible Hall of Famer, Reggie Wayne. Wayne leads all receivers with 106 targets, 69 receptions, and a +20.9 overall grade, and he’s second only to Calvin Johnson with 103.4 receiving yards per game.
The Patriots’ pass defense has once again struggled, allowing the sixth-most passing yards (285.3 per game) and third-most passing touchdowns (19) in the league this season. Against the Buffalo Bills, Alfonzo Dennard became just the latest underachiever on New England’s defensive back merry-go-round. So does that make this matchup that will reap rewards for the Colts? Not so fast. Luck targets Wayne on 29.2% of his throws, and has at times forced the ball to his top wideout. Going back to his gameplan against Marshall Faulk in Super Bowl XXXVI, Belichick has shown an ability to take a team’s top player out of the game. In Week 2 of this season, the Pats maligned secondary held Larry Fitzgerald to one catch for 4 yards. The Cardinals found a way to win that game by going to their other players, but does Luck have that luxury? Coby Fleener is injured, T.Y. Hilton hasn’t earned a positive grade since Week 3, and Donnie Avery has an awful 66.0 WR Rating. If the Patriots can even slow down Wayne, perhaps with the reinvigorated Devin McCourty (+10.0 pass coverage) or newcomer Aqib Talib, then Luck may have trouble adjusting.
Chandler Jones vs. Anthony Castonzo
If you ever looked beyond the Brady vs. Manning hype that dominated this series, you may remember some epic battles between Matt Light and Dwight Freeney. On Sunday, we may see a similar one forming between second-year left tackle Anthony Castonzo and rookie defensive end Chandler Jones. Jones announced his presence to the NFL quickly with four pressures and a forced fumble in a Week 1 blowout of the Titans, and he hasn’t slowed down since. He not only leads all AFC rookies with six sacks, but also ranks seventh among all 4-3 DEs with a +11.4 overall grade. The vast majority of his pass rushes have come from the right side, where his 31 total QB pressures are the fifth-most in the league.
Those are troublesome stats for Castonzo, whose 92.4 Pass Blocking Efficiency ranks near the bottom of offensive tackles. The young left tackle particularly struggles against top-tier pass rushers, noted by the combined 17 QB pressures he surrendered to Jared Allen, Clay Matthews, and Kamerion Wimbley earlier this season. But when the Colts run the ball, Castonzo transforms from liability to asset, and his +5.3 run block grade is a team-best. Jones has made some plays in run defense, but his poor 4.6 Run Stop Percentage indicates that he has yet to find consistency there. Take your eye off Luck for a bit Sunday and watch these two youngsters, as you may see a rivalry in the making.
Patriots Running Game vs Colts Front 7
Halfway through the 2012 season, the Patriots’ offense is at its typical position atop the NFL. New England’s 33.2 points and 430.3 yards per game lead the league, and they’ve been even better lately with 111 points combined in their last three games. However, what makes this Patriot attack different from those of recent years is its strength in the running game. Stevan Ridley is sixth in the league with 817 rushing yards, and his 15 rushes of over 15 yards are second only to Adrian Peterson. He’s given New Engand a ground weapon that they haven’t had since Clock Killin’ Corey Dillon. After all fretting in the preseason, the Patriots offensive line has overcome turnover and injuries to remain one of the best in the league. Center Ryan Wendell leads the way with a +11.6 run block grade, and Rob Gronkowski is again proving that his run blocking is as frighteningly devastating as his receiving skills.
The Colts defense struggled at the start of the season, which is to be expected from a squad transitioning to a new defensive scheme without a lot of new talent. It has shored up lately, however, surrendering an average of just 14 points over the last four games. Yet none of those opponents had as powerful of a running attack as New England, and Indianapolis still gives up an average of 4.7 yards per rush, fourth-highest in the league. Cory Redding leads the Colt defensive line by default with a 5.6 Run Stop Percentage, a number that doesn’t even put him in the top half of 3-4 DEs. And on the second-level, we find former All-Pro Dwight Freeney floundering in his new outside linebacker position, where his 2.1 Run Stop Percentage ranks dead last. The lone bright spot for the Colts run defense is Kavell Connor, who leads all inside linebackers with a 16.2 Run Stop Percentage. Many opponents fear being torched by Brady when facing the Patriots, and rightfully so. But if the Colts front seven isn’t up to the task against the run, it may be Ridley who brings their demise.
http://www.patriots.com/news/articl...e16?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitterWe noted the breakdowns and failures in the secondary as early as 2006. It’s now accepted Gridiron Gospel that the Patriots have huge issues to overcome.
And right now it might be even worse than you think. The Patriots enter Week 11 No. 28 league-wide in Defensive Passer Rating (97.3). Put another way, opposing quarterbacks torch them for a 97.3 passer rating week after week.
For a little perspective, future first-ballot Hall of Fame quarterback <nobr>Tom Brady</nobr>, the leader of the most consistently prolific offenses in football history, boasts a career passer rating of 96.6.
That’s right: the 2012 Patriots make every quarterback look better than Tom Brady.
The numbers are so bad we have to look at them in historical context. Here is the list of every team in NFL history (excluding other 2012 teams for the moment) that surrendered a Defensive Passer Rating of 97.0 or worse.
<table cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0" width="400"> <tbody> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">
</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Team </td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">Year </td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">DPR </td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">Record </td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">1</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Detroit Lions</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2008</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">110.9</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">0-16</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">2</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Minnesota Vikings</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2011</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">107.6</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">3-13</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">3</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Houston Oilers</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1982</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">107.3</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">1-8</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">4</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Detroit Lions</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2009</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">107.0</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">2-14</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">5</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Minnesota Vikings</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1984</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">104.4</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">3-13</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">6</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Indianapolis Colts</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2011</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">103.9</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">2-14</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">7</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Atlanta Falcons</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1968</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">101.3</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">2-12</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">8</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Tennessee Titans</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2005</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">100.7</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">4-12</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">9</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Baltimore Colts</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1981</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">100.6</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">2-14</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">9</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Atlanta Falcons</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1996</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">100.6</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">3-13</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">11</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Houston Texans</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2010</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">100.5</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">6-10</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">12</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Houston Texans</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2005</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">100.0</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">2-14</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">13</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Cincinnati Bengals</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2002</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">99.9</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">2- 14</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">14</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">San Francisco 49ers</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1999</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">99.8</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">4-12</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">15</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Oakland Raiders</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2004</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">99.4</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">5-11</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">16t</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Minnesota Vikings</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1963</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">99.1</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">5-8-1</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">16t</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Green Bay Packers</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2004</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">99.1</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">10-6</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">18t</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Denver Broncos</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2008</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">98.5</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">8-8</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">18t</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Jacksonville Jaguars</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2010</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">98.5</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">8-8</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">20</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Carolina Panthers</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2011</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">98.3</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">6-10</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">21</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Washington Redskins</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2006</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">97.8</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">5-11</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">22</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Kansas City Chiefs</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2004</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">97.5</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">7-9</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">23</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">New Orleans Saints</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1969</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">97.4</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">5-9</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">24t</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Baltimore Colts</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1982</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">97.3</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">0-8 -1</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">24t</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">New England Patriots</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2012</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">97.3</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">6-3</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">26</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">Tampa Bay Buccaneers</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">2011</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">97.2</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">4-12</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="bottom" width="32">27</td> <td valign="bottom" width="167">N.Y. Giants</td> <td valign="bottom" width="37">1966</td> <td valign="bottom" width="64">97.2</td> <td valign="bottom" width="87">1-12-1</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
This list of unlovable losers includes the only two winless teams in modern football history: the 0-8-1 Colts of 1982 and the 0-16 Lions of 2008, who top the list. It’s absolutely no coincidence that the team with the worst pass defense in history also had the worst record in history.
This list proves a simple truism of football: Winning in the NFL is all about the passing game. It’s hard to win consistently if your defense is getting carved up like a Thanksgiving turkey every Sunday.
Only two of 27 teams on the list produced winning records: Brett Favre and the 2004 Packers went 10-6; your 2012 Patriots currently sit at 6-3.
So this team is battling against a heavy statistical tide right now, fighting a current of defensive ineptitude that makes it difficult to win in any era.
The Patriots win only because of their Hall of Fame quarterback and a historic offense.
Football fans in New England seem to have grown blasé about the offensive fireworks we see week after week. They should embrace it because it won’t last forever.
The Patriots are not only No. 1 in the NFL in scoring this year (33.2 PPG), they are on pace to be the No. 7 scoring offense in NFL history.
Here are the top-scoring teams (total points) in league history:
No. 1 – 2007 Patriots (589)
No. 2 – 2011 Packers (560)
No. 3 – 1998 Vikings (556)
No. 4 – 2011 Saints (547)
No. 5 – 1983 Redskins (541)
No. 6 – 2000 Rams (540)
No. 7 – 2012 Patriots (531)* projected
All of which brings us back to Talib. Certainly, he’s good enough to make an impact on this defense, right?
Well, maybe not. He was the starting cornerback last year on a Tampa Bay defense that posted a 97.2 Defensive Passer Rating – that’s right, almost exactly the same as the number produced by the Patriots this year. If he was such a great impact player, you wouldn’t have known it last year.
The bottom line is that the Patriots have a 3-13 defense that is lucky to be paired with one of the great offenses of all time.
That offense should find some easy pickins against the Colts this week; Indianapolis is nearly as bad on pass defense as the Patriots, with a 96.5 Defensive Passer Rating.
Brady and that offense give the Patriots a huge advantage this week. Colts rookie QB Luck has generated plenty of headlines but rumors of his greatness are far from confirmed. In reality, Luck and the Colts bring to Foxboro a very below-average passing game:
No. 15 in Real Passing Yards Per Attempt (6.53 YPA)
No. 24 in Real Quarterback Rating (76.0)
No. 25 in Offensive Passer Rating (79.1)
Meanwhile, Luck has thrown just 10 TD and 9 INT this year, including just 3 TDs with 4 INTs in his last five games. Those are far from great numbers in this day and age.
He’ll put up some nice numbers on Sunday. But he’ll likely be schooled by the old master Tom Brady.
Kerry Byrne discusses the the Talib addition and the Colts game for Patriots.com
http://www.patriots.com/news/articl...e16?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
<table> <thead> <tr> <th>Player</th> <th>Pos.</th> <th>Injury</th> <th>Wednesday</th> <th>Thursday</th> <th>Friday</th> <th>Game Status</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr class="last"> <td>Logan Mankins</td> <td>G</td> <td>Ankle/Calf</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>Doubtful</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Ron Brace</td> <td>DT</td> <td>Elbow</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Deion Branch</td> <td>WR</td> <td>Hamstring</td> <td>-----</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Patrick Chung</td> <td>S</td> <td>Shoulder/Hamstring</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Dan Connolly</td> <td>G</td> <td>Back</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Steve Gregory</td> <td>S</td> <td>Hip</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Rob Gronkowski</td> <td>TE</td> <td>Hip</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Aaron Hernandez</td> <td>TE</td> <td>Ankle</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Dont'a Hightower</td> <td>LB</td> <td>Hamstring</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Brandon Lloyd</td> <td>WR</td> <td>Knee</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Nick McDonald</td> <td>OL</td> <td>Shoulder</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Trevor Scott</td> <td>DE</td> <td>Hamstring</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Brandon Spikes</td> <td>LB</td> <td>Knee</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Sebastian Vollmer</td> <td>OT</td> <td>Back/Knee</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Wes Welker</td> <td>WR</td> <td>Ankle</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Tracy White</td> <td>LB</td> <td>Foot</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Malcolm Williams</td> <td>CB</td> <td>Thigh</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Limited</td> <td>Questionable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Julian Edelman</td> <td>WR</td> <td>Hand</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Probable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Kyle Love</td> <td>DT</td> <td>Knee</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Probable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Jerod Mayo</td> <td>LB</td> <td>Elbow</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Probable</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
<table><thead> <tr> <th>Player</th> <th>Pos.</th> <th>Injury</th> <th>Wednesday</th> <th>Thursday</th> <th>Friday</th> <th>Game Status</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr class="last"> <td>Vontae Davis</td> <td>CB</td> <td>Knee</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>OUT</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Coby Fleener</td> <td>TE</td> <td>Shoulder</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>OUT</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Donald Brown</td> <td>RB</td> <td>Knee</td> <td>Full</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Probable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Josh Chapman</td> <td>NT</td> <td>Knee</td> <td>-----</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Probable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Winston Justice</td> <td>T</td> <td>Knee</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Probable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Robert Mathis</td> <td>LB</td> <td>Back</td> <td>Full</td> <td>DNP</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Probable</td> </tr> <tr class="last"> <td>Samson Satele</td> <td>C</td> <td>Back</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Full</td> <td>Probable</td></tr></tbody></table>
All the pats listed as questionable will play except for maybe AHern.
Did he say anything about half of the Patriots team being on the injury report? Lord knows Bob Lamey is on top of it. If you've ever had to listen to that tool for a game, you are indeed screwed. He doesn't know what's happening while watching it live. BTW...ESPN reported that that the Patriots have only beat one team with a winning record this year? EEE gads, could it be true? Is this what they call a trap game for the Colts? lol
Did he say anything about half of the Patriots team being on the injury report? Lord knows Bob Lamey is on top of it. If you've ever had to listen to that tool for a game, you are indeed screwed. He doesn't know what's happening while watching it live. BTW...ESPN reported that that the Patriots have only beat one team with a winning record this year? EEE gads, could it be true? Is this what they call a trap game for the Colts? lol
http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/8639525/just-go-away-garyPATRIOTS (-9) over Colts
I know it's fun to think about another nationally televised Colts-Patriots game, with Tom Brady playing Tom Brady and Andrew Luck playing the role of Peyton Manning (kind of like the CSI franchise switching lead actors or something). I know those nine points look enticing, especially when you think about Luck potentially picking apart New England's ghastly secondary. But I want you to look at something …
QB1: 2,645 yards, 18 TDs, 3 picks, 64.8 completion %, 15 sacks, 100.1 rating.
QB2: 2,072 yards, 15 TDs, 4 picks, 63.0 completion %, 21 sacks, 96.5 rating.
The first QB is Brady. The second QB is everyone who started against the 2012 Colts — a list that features exactly one quality QB (Aaron Rodgers), one above-average QB (Jay Cutler), one just-about-washed-up QB (Matt Hasselbeck), two rookie QBs (Brandon Weeden, Ryan Tannehill), three struggling second-year QBs (Christian Ponder, Blaine Gabbert and Blaine Gabbert again), and one totally embattled QB (Mark Sanchez). Rodgers ranks second in QB rating, Ponder ranks 20th, and the other six range from 24th (Cutler) to 31st (Weeden). And yet, somehow, The Guy Who Goes Against The 2012 Colts would have the ninth-highest QB rating and the eighth-best touchdown/interception ratio.
Here's the point: If Tom Brady doesn't completely, totally and irrevocably carve up that openly lousy Colts pass defense — at home, in a relatively important game that he's going to care about winning — it will be one of the biggest upsets of the 2012 season. Which means Luck (10 TDs, 9 picks) has to score 30+ points to hang around … something the Colts have done only once all year (30 against Green Bay in Week 5). Their only hope is that the Patriots will Milton Berle their way through this game with a Jets game looming four days later, but from what we've seen of Luck — especially late in games — is that really someone you want to let hang around? I think the Pats make a huge statement in this one. Pats 45, Colts 20. And with that said … I don't even remotely believe in this team.
Speaking of Luck, here's a crucial e-mail from Charlotte reader Peter Williams: "Sure, no one talks about it. But they do talk about how 'we're not talking about Andrew Luck's athletic ability enough.' I imagine people will be talking a lot more about 'not talking about Luck's athletic ability enough' as the hype machine builds. If RGIII owned the first half of the season, then 'not talking about Andrew Luck's athletic ability enough' will own the second half."
Having said that, honestly, I will say this — we really aren't talking about Andrew Luck's athletic ability enough.