theAthletic's power rankings
Every NFL team has a blind spot or an issue that could derail its hopes for the season's final weeks. We run down one per club.
theathletic.com
Previous rank: 1
Week 12 result: Bye
Problem area: Run defense. Teams aren’t attacking Arizona on the ground all that often; it has faced the fifth-fewest rushing attempts in the league this season. But when opponents do run, they are successful, with an average of 4.74 yards per attempt. Only the Vikings and Steelers are allowing more yards per rush, and according to TruMedia, the Cardinals are giving up 3.07 rushing yards after contact, the third most in the league. Why are we focusing on run defense here? Because Arizona’s
final three games are against strong rushing teams: the
Colts (with
Jonathan Taylor), the
Cowboys (with
Ezekiel Elliott) and the
Seahawks (which will feature a run-heavy offense whether it’s working or not). Even the winless Lions, whom the Cardinals face in Week 15, are a decent rushing team. Detroit averages more than 4.6 yards per carry.
Previous rank: 3
Week 12 result: Beat the Rams, 36-28
Problem area: Aaron Rodgers’ toe. Don’t worry, we’re not going to post the photo again. But what the last month or so has taught us is that when the Packers have Rodgers on the field, they can make a strong argument they’re the best team in the NFC. And with defensive stars
Za’Darius Smith and
Jaire Alexander potentially returning later this season, Rodgers’ toe is the key injury to watch. He limped at times in
Sunday’s win, and he’s likely going to just have to manage the pain, play through it and hope he can avoid further injury.
Previous rank: 2
Week 12 result: Beat the Colts, 38-31
Problem area: Third-down defense. The Buccaneers are a well-rounded team that looks ready to contend for another Super Bowl berth. They’ve had some uninspiring losses, but it’s tough to poke
too many holes in this team. One area they could improve is third-down defense. They’re in the bottom half of the league, allowing opponents to convert on third down 40.9 percent of the time. Against the Colts, they allowed four third-down conversions when Indy needed 10 or more yards. That was outside the norm, but those situations can be the difference during the postseason.
Previous rank: T-4
Week 12 result: Bye
Problem area: Defensive sub packages. A month ago, we could have simply put the entire defense here, but the Chiefs have made an
impressive turnaround in the three games preceding their bye. Defensive questions remain, however, particularly with their nickel or dime packages and when safety
Daniel Sorensen is on the field. Sorensen’s playing time has dropped from the first half of the season (he played more than 90 percent of the defensive snaps in Weeks 1-5 and has played about 50 percent in the past two games), but we should expect opposing offenses to continue to try to exploit the Chiefs’ pass defense when he’s on the field.
Previous rank: 7
Week 12 result: Beat the Titans, 36-13
Problem area: Red-zone offense. The Patriots have scored a touchdown on 55.6 percent of their trips to the red zone. That’s 24th in the NFL.
Nick Folk attempted six field goals and made five of them against the Titans, and it wasn’t the first time an inability to finish on offense has popped up. The Patriots are
still rolling, though. They won by 20-plus points for the third straight game, they have outscored their opponents 63-0 in the second half of their last four games and now have the NFL’s best point differential. The Patriots are a team with few weaknesses, with a real shot at the AFC’s No. 1 seed.
Previous rank: 9
Week 12 result: Beat the Browns, 16-10
Problem area: Consistent quarterback play. The bar is
extremely high for
Lamar Jackson, and while his passing numbers have been decent this season (he’s averaging a career-high 261 passing yards per game), the Ravens should expect more if they want to hold on to the AFC’s No. 1 seed. Baltimore survived his four-interception night in Week 12 in large part because of how the defense shut down the Browns, coupled with Cleveland’s own offensive struggles. That won’t happen when Baltimore plays better teams in the postseason.
Previous rank: 11
Week 12 result: Beat the Saints, 31-6
Problem area: The offensive line, which is the same one that helped the Bills get to the AFC Championship Game a year ago. This year, though, the group has been a letdown.
[Bills OL ranks 18th (PFF) in pass blocking efficiency & has avg grades of 60 in blocking - Pats' OL is 6th with avg grades of 80]
Daryl Williams,
Dion Dawkins and
Cody Ford have
allowed a combined 66 pressures. Jon Feliciano and
Spencer Brown could help once they’re back on the field, but the Bills haven’t been consistent in pass protection all year. They also haven’t been able to run the ball. Buffalo has the defense and passing game to make up for it, but it
needs to do a better job of keeping Josh Allen upright if it’s going to make a deep run.
Previous rank: 8
Week 12 result: Lost to the Raiders, 36-33 in overtime
[Week 13: Won vs injury riddled Saints last night 27-17, using Taysom Hill's 4 ints to good advantage. Otherwise the Saints played the Cowboys toe to toe and exposed E.Elliot as a poor RB (13/45yds) this year and held the Cowboys to 2/14 on 3rd downs. (8-4 now)]
Problem area: Continuity on the
offensive line. The Cowboys are averaging just 3.6 yards per carry over their last three games. What used to be the strength of this team has become an area of concern. Dallas was rotating linemen early against the Raiders, but that didn’t help. The offensive line ranks in the top 10 in holding and false-start penalties, and penalties were a team-wide issue in the Thanksgiving loss to Las Vegas. Luckily for the Cowboys, they still have time to snap out of it
before the postseason.