The 2017 NFCCG. Falcons vs GB.

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chevss454

chevss454

Data-driven decision-making is science and art.
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This should be a high scoring game that I'm looking forward to watching.
The Vegas line favored the Falcons -5.0 initially and the line went UP today --> Falcons -5.5 which means money was coming in heavier on GB. Watch what happens between now and game time to see what the sharps do although don't go strictly by that. They can be wrong plenty.

The O/U is holding steady at 60.5 to 61.5, the variance bc of different casinos and not bc the line number changed.

Personally, I think the disparity between the Falcons' offense and GB's defense is bigger than the disparity between GB's offense and the Falcons' defense. Julio should have a huge game but I worry more about Ryan playing well than I do about ARodgers. Therefore, I expect the Falcons to win outright but I consider it too risky to bet on either team to cover the points.

The over is a reasonable bet however despite the high total. Here's why.
The Falcons avg 33.8/game. The Packers avg 27/game but have played better the 2nd half of the season. That's 60.8 points right there and these defenses give up more points than the avg NFL defense does. In points given up, GB ranks 20th and the Falcons rank 26th. (24.2 vs 25.4). Therefore I expect both teams to score more than their avg in this game.
 
I picked the Falcons in a poll in a previous thread so I am sticking to it but I would not be surprised at all if GB pulls it out, I simply don't think they can stop the Falcons offense.
 
I don't know what to think on this one. It should be a hell of a game for sure. But who to pick? No idea. Rodgers is on a roll. Does Atlanta swoon again?
 
I would prefer the Falcons win so we can end this silly "Rodgers/Greatest thing in the history of the universe" talk early.
 
GB is down to its 4,5,6 corners and its receivers are banged up. Jones practiced fully yesterday with no limitations. I think Atlanta rolls in this game. It's defense has been playing much better the last month of the season and the Packers are a sieve in their secondary. I expect this game to play out much like the Seattle game unless Rodgers just goes on some tear which is very possible but I still think Ryan and that offense will be too much.
 
Rodgers on Falcons stadium: it's really loud in there. Whether that's all natural or not remains to be seen.
 
chevss454 said:
He said that?
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http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.co...ud-in-atlanta-whether-its-all-natural-or-not/

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers took a shot at the Falcons’ history of playing fake crowd noise over the Georgia Dome loudspeakers in his final media appearance before Sunday’s NFC Championship Game.

Asked about the noise in Atlanta, Rodgers acknowledged it’s loud, and then noted that the noise might not actually be coming from the fans.

“It’s really loud in there. Whether that’s all natural or not is yet to be seen,” Rodgers said.

The Falcons were stripped of a fifth-round pick in the 2016 NFL draft and fined $350,000 after an investigation revealed that they had been using fake crowd noise while the opposing offense was on the field during the 2013 and 2014 seasons. The Falcons fired their director of event marketing, whom they blamed for overseeing the scheme, and the NFL temporarily pulled Falcons President Rich McKay off the Competition Committee for it.

There have been no allegations that the Falcons resumed their practice since then, but Rodgers found it amusing to take a little shot at the team before Sunday’s game.
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Rodgers is a tool.
 
Mazz22 said:
Rodgers is a tool.
Click to expand...

Rodgers doesn't know the difference in being humorous and being a passive aggressive jerk at someone else's expense. He talked before he thought about it.

We're used to it with all the constant "cheatriot" bs but from Rodgers it's simply inappropriate bottom feeding of low hanging fruit. I bet he wanted to take that comment back immediately after he said it.

Bulletin Board Material for the Falcons at the very least.
 
Well, we all have heard which way Rodgers secretly swings. Perhaps a member of the Falcons should call him out on it.
 
MontanaBrady said:
Well, we all have heard which way Rodgers secretly swings. Perhaps a member of the Falcons should call him out on it.
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Maybe they should double (or even triple) check the air pressure in the Packers balls before the game to make sure that they are under 16.

Or even better, do it at half time (controlled environment shouldn't provide an opportunity for much deflation.)

I'm going to send an e-mail to Mike Kensil to warn him of possible shenanigans.
 
I know Rodgers is a great QB and that he's dangerous, but I'd much rather face GB if we win tonight.

Atlanta are too dangerous and have too many weapons.
 
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