Hogfarmer says I get it, how bad can he be . . .
.
Seriously, just a few random thoughts . . .
Mahomes is having a great first half season and is on the short lists of folks for MVP and folks in KC and surrounding areas are all excited about this kid as being the savoir of the franchise. It good to be excited but in perspective.
They may be correct and they may not be correct, time will te3ll. It was not too long ago that some of the Pats fan base (along with media and some of which still think so) that Jimmy G. was the bees knees only after playing about a game and a half. This only escalated with some media around here when he won all of those game late last season.
So maybe Jimmy G. and Mahomes will go on to have great careers, maybe they will fall back to the pack like Wilson and Luck. Who knows time will tell. And as Tommyd420 mentioned, we have seen a large number of 8 game wonders who have come back to the pack.
I like both QBs but have equal reservations for each QB.
As for Mahomes 8 games this year and 9 overall being a sign of the future i think we need to see the following before one can have a truer view of his greatness.
What can he do when and/or after (some of which have been mentioned already) . . .
- He is not driving a Cadaillac for a team
- First real pressure meaningful game (he did lose to the Pats)
- After injuries to him or teammates
- Roster turnover
- 2nd contract
- Teams get a bead on him
- After a few successful seasons or first SB
- Front office not giving him the weapons
- how many 4th qtr comebacks and GWD will he have per opporunity
The above are just a few that will get a better read on Mahomes. As he stands now he is just, to me, a Jimmy G. wearing red with a ton of weapons.
As for game winning drives. For me I like to see the percentage of games in which the QB has the opportunity to get a game winning drive or 4th qtr comeback and ones that he has convert. That is a truer test of the clutch value of the QB, not the amount of them, but how often did you do it when it presented itself.
Often times one is on a weak team and/or does not perform in the first 3 qtrs thereby being behind. At the same time if one is doing his job in the first three quarters there is no opportunity to have a 4th qtr comeback or GWD
From what i recall Brady was around 50% which was a lot higher than others and if i remember at the time Rodgers was not that high.
And again getting back to Maholmes, let see what he does when some of the above passing his plate. As for now he is having a great season, but it just a single season.