The smart money from the pros came in early and moved the line. It would take significant money from yahoo nation to move the line back towards Denver.
I personally think it's a touch high. I mean, all things being equal, the Broncos did win Week 12 in OT, so it should at least be a point or two toward Denver.
Comparing the playoff wins, the Patriots were solid. Far from great (although I was starting to see the pieces fall into place), still a good bit to clean up, but it was a solid win against a good team on the road.
The Broncos were kinda shaky, given several field position gifts that they got FGs off of, but hey, when they needed that final drive, they got it, even if the Steelers should have just stupid let them score, and have all sorts of time on the clock.
But, the Steelers are stupid and they kinda suck, and have shitty coaching and dumb players, so I guess it's to be expected.
So I could see where the Patriots might be favored, although factoring trends and all-time records in Denver - There's no way I could have made them more than a FG favorite. If you're going to do more than a pick 'em, maybe a point, point-and-a-half.
3.5's a lot. All sorts of marginal yahoo Broncos fan gamblers and that ESPNbot guy will jump all over it. I can't say I'd blame them,.