The 2021 Draft- We Need This One

Jerry did his qb pick, selected mac jones

 


That paper from Penn that you posted the other day (I'm still slogging through it -very complex stuff) made the point that talent evaluators sometimes go overboard on information. I believe the point is that the more evidence they have on a guy, the more reports etc., then the more likely they are to pick a guy. Something like that. Too much info is actually bad.

I watched Mac Jones Pro Day recently and it was more uneven than, say, the polished one put on by Zack Wilson. Jones was throwing on the run a fair bit with mixed results. I'm guessing that was by request, but it isn't really his game. Not that he was awful at it, but he wasn't tremendous as Wilson was at that particular skill. He also overthrew his "WRs" who looked dead slow to me. Is that reality or confirmation bias? I can't be sure, but I go with what my eyes tell me.

So, then I went back and watched Jones playing in real fooball games and I saw all the stuff that got me interested in him in the first place. The ball seemed to come out faster and was usually right on the money. I decided that I think I'm right and it's clear now that while the opinion on Jones is divided, there are a lot of NFL guys who see something unusual in his processing abilities. The point is, I'm sticking with my instincts on this one despite the man experts who think he is average in a lot of ways.

Mac Jones to the Pats. All the drills in shorts might just scare some people off and somehow allow a really good football player end up in the perfect spot for him to thrive. Right here.
 
I'd actually be very happy with any of the top 5 QBs in this draft so if it's Mac Jones or Trey Lance or Justin Fields who drops far enough for BB, I'm good with any of them.
Mac seems the most NFL ready.
Mac's ability to read defenses (college) gives him an edge.
Lance's athleticism and arm strength are intriguing as are Field's.
Fields has more to learn with progressions and rapid response.

I've seen what JimmyG is and what BB/Josh did with him. In Shanny's QB friendly system, JG didn't perform well.
I'd like to see what they can do with 1 of these guys.
 
That paper from Penn that you posted the other day (I'm still slogging through it -very complex stuff) made the point that talent evaluators sometimes go overboard on information. I believe the point is that the more evidence they have on a guy, the more reports etc., then the more likely they are to pick a guy. Something like that. Too much info is actually bad.

I watched Mac Jones Pro Day recently and it was more uneven than, say, the polished one put on by Zack Wilson. Jones was throwing on the run a fair bit with mixed results. I'm guessing that was by request, but it isn't really his game. Not that he was awful at it, but he wasn't tremendous as Wilson was at that particular skill. He also overthrew his "WRs" who looked dead slow to me. Is that reality or confirmation bias? I can't be sure, but I go with what my eyes tell me.

So, then I went back and watched Jones playing in real fooball games and I saw all the stuff that got me interested in him in the first place. The ball seemed to come out faster and was usually right on the money. I decided that I think I'm right and it's clear now that while the opinion on Jones is divided, there are a lot of NFL guys who see something unusual in his processing abilities. The point is, I'm sticking with my instincts on this one despite the man experts who think he is average in a lot of ways.

Mac Jones to the Pats. All the drills in shorts might just scare some people off and somehow allow a really good football player end up in the perfect spot for him to thrive. Right here.
I didn't watch the pro day. I know what I saw on the field. The kid's best quick-twitch muscle is his brain as it processes visual information. As long as he has the work ethic, the arm is plenty good enough...and seems to be at it's best when it matters most.
 
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